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Markets

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Words from the (Investment) Wise for the Week That Was (February 2 - 8, 2009)

Feb 08, 2009 at 00:00

Global stock markets shrugged off dire news on the US employment front, arguing that the gloomy data would hasten US lawmakers' passage of a stimulus package.

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A Confidence Crisis, Not a Money Crisis

Feb 07, 2009 at 00:00

Institutional and retail investors alike are still suffering the spillover effects from a lack of confidence in the financial system. It's not that they utterly lack capital; they're simply too…

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Is JP Morgan Taking Realistic Marks on its WaMu Portfolio Purchase? Doubtful!

Feb 07, 2009 at 00:00

According to Fitch, of the nearly $200 bn of option ARMs outstanding, roughly $29 bn of loans are expected to recast by 2009. Of this $6.6 bn constitute 2004 vintage…

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Awaiting the Peak in the Countertrend UpMove

Feb 07, 2009 at 00:00

If nothing else, then the next few days will make or break the current upmove in the equity market. Either the advance will feed on itself in conjunction with --…

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A Brief Update on Dow Theory and the Current Non-Confirmation

Feb 07, 2009 at 00:00

On November 21, 2007 the primary trend, in accordance to classical Dow theory, was confirmed as bearish. To date, nothing has occurred to invalidate that setup. According to Dow theory,…

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Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis

Feb 07, 2009 at 00:00

I am in principle in favor of a deep and large stimulus package. We need one, but what is on tap is not what will stimulate real job growth. All…

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Unemployment Figures, Right Between the Eyes

Feb 07, 2009 at 00:00

I am hoping that someone from the media will ask me about my current thoughts on the "deflation or inflation" debate, but they probably won't, since the last time I…

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The Government Finance Bubble

Feb 06, 2009 at 00:00

We've commenced a new cycle dominated by government electronic printing presses in all their various forms. The inflationary consequences will be a different variety than we've grown accustomed to from…

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Canadian Gold Miners Hot... What Deflation?

Feb 06, 2009 at 00:00

There has been no better opportunity to buy small-cap gold miners since 2001-03 than during the last quarter. I know, all the gold bugs are telling you the same thing,…

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Jaguar Inflation - A Layman's Explanation of Government Intervention

Feb 06, 2009 at 00:00

I am tired of hearing people insist that the Fed can expand credit all it wants. Sometimes an analogy clarifies a subject, so let's try one.