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Markets

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Liquidity Trap

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

Right now we have a situation that reflects the '30's and the Japanese 90's - 2006 were nominal rates are at zero and money supply is being increased at a…

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Bond Bubble Bursting?

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

It should be note a significant sentiment change associated with the broad stock market occurred post options expiry on December 19th that has confirmed Treasury bond selling is asset allocation…

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2009 Outlook: Angling For A Recovery

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

Unwilling to let the free market work, U.S. policymakers have adopted the audacious goal of trying to kick-start a deeply flawed financial system; a system grounded upon unsustainable increases in…

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Gold Thoughts

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

The Era of Simple Solutions continues to unfold. For every complex problem, as the wise man once said, there is a simple solution, that is wrong. Into the abyss of…

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Reflections On 2008, Themes For 2009

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

It is not possible to predict what timeframe it takes for market participants to realize it's not just the US dollar that is trash, but rather every fiat currency on…

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Hope Springs Eternal

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

Bullish divergence has been present throughout the bottoming process in our often watched 'panel' indicators like MACD and RSI. You name a major global market... Europe, Japan, they are all…

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Where We Are Headed: Gold, USD, Oil

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

The year 2008 will be written about in finance textbooks for generations to come. The inevitable collapse of the boom, built single-headedly on credit, finally came home to roast. Ironically,…

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Media Blamed For Making Economic Crisis Worse

Jan 06, 2009 at 00:00

Those ever optimistic economists are forever predicting stock market recoveries, housing recoveries, job recoveries and consumer confidence recoveries, all of which set unrealistically high expectations and glimmers of hope that…

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Panic Rally?

Jan 05, 2009 at 00:00

We remain in Buy Mode, looking for the markets to continue higher into 1/20. We do expect weakness in the short term and for the markets to build energy to…

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Is America Broke Part II -- The Debt God

Jan 05, 2009 at 00:00

The following paper is the second installment of the three part series: Is America Broke . The first article discussed the main issues of the financial crisis. It was suggested…