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Markets

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Is the Tide Turning?

Dec 08, 2008 at 00:00

Equities have moved above resistance on an increase in volumes so the tide may be shifting as side-lined cash is being put to work. We still expect an eventual retest…

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Nonsense About Gold Backwardation, Ameros,Yuan Devaluations, etc.

Dec 08, 2008 at 00:00

Late last week through this weekend I started receiving numerous emails about gold backwardation theories, Amero sightings, Yuan devaluations, and all sorts of other stories that do not stand up…

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The Great Treasury Trap...

Dec 08, 2008 at 00:00

One of the more unusual manifestations of the financial meltdown this year has been the dollar spike, that caught a lot of traders by surprise, and was generated in part…

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The Country is in Recession Yet the Commentariat Still Cannot Spot What is Wrong

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

The media is not the only place where economic commentary is woeful: Parliament is even worse. Malcolm Turnbull, leader of the Opposition, declared that Australia can avoid recession while maintaining…

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Central Banks Vs. Deflationary Spiral

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

The past two weeks were unprecedented in the size of monetary expansion around the world. World financial authorities have finally realized that the economy is on the edge of a…

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Weekly Update

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

In the bigger picture, not a lot has changed from last week, except that we're getting closer to turning medium term positive as is seen by the circled area, also…

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A December Test of the Lows?

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

Last month I suggested that we should test the 2002 lows before the market could form a good low and we breached them briefly on November 21st. This month we…

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A Quick Update to My Primary View

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

The DOW finished the week right back at the down trend line. And while it's feasible for the markets to continue their consolidation and expand that pattern, I expect the…

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Bottoming Process Continues

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

The bad news didn't end with the headline numbers. October and September were both revised down. October was revised to a fall of 320,000 jobs against the previously reported 240,000,…

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The Weekly Report

Dec 07, 2008 at 00:00

This week some fool decided the US had been in recession for a year. I hope they don't get paid too much. What I find amusing is that straight away…