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Markets

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Update of SP 500 Index

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

Fibonacci time extensions of various waves are shown at the top of the chart, with a cluster of Fib dates occurring on October 16th and 17th, the likely point in…

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Where is My Swap Line?

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

Some emerging market central banks have noticed that they - unlike the Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank and the European Central Bank - don't have access…

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Those Who Fail to Learn from the Leading Indicators Are Bound to Be Late on Their Recession Call

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

On a year-over-year basis, the quarterly average of the index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) began contracting in the first quarter of 2007. With the exception of the third quarter…

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On the Horizon: The Day Ahead: October 21, 2008

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

No macro economic data on deck for Tuesday ... D-Day as Lehman CDS are settled ...Bank of Canada monetary announcement ... Australian CPI to be released ...

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US Faces Recession, Bernanke's Stimulus

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

I don't want to start off this week's posts with the usual comparisons of our current economic climate to the Great Depression, but we do have some news out acknowledging…

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Zinc to Shine from 2-Year Doldrums

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

Over 7 million tons of zinc are produced annually worldwide. Nearly 50% of the amount is used for galvanizing to protect steel from corrosion. Approximately 19% are used to produce…

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Hope Springs Eternal

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

Remember, it has been my contention for some time now that misplaced optimism (call buying) associated with the belief the bureaucracy would not let anything bad happen to the stock…

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Too Big to Fail?

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

Just as economies that turned away from slave labor had a transition period, our economy would transition as well, but in the end, if we turned to honest, sound money…

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Weekly Wrap-Up: Dislocation

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

The stock market is clearly terrified right now, despite last week's SPX gain, which was the largest in percentage terms since February. The VIX is above 70% and 20-day historical…

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Stocks Will Bottom Well Before Economy

Oct 20, 2008 at 00:00

Investing is really about risk management. When the odds are favorable, you expose some of your capital to the risk of loss in search of possible gains. The best time…