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Markets

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Baltic Dry Shipping Collapses

Oct 15, 2008 at 00:00

The US is in a recession, consumers are cutting back discretionary spending, there is rampant overcapacity in every sector but energy, and there is no reason to go on a…

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No Credit, No Leverage

Oct 15, 2008 at 00:00

What we thought was a wall of liquidity, turned out to be a wall of leverage." - Paul Davies in the FT, quoting "a number of senior bankers...

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More on Name Brands

Oct 15, 2008 at 00:00

Taking investment advice from Rogers or Buffet, or the media darlings without empirically quantifying their risk adjusted success is the same as paying $215 for name brand sneakers - you…

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The Misesian Explanation of the Bank Crisis

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

... the fundamental cause of the bank crisis is not evil Republicans, lying Democrats, "deregulation," "affirmative-action lending," or even "ludicrous levels of leverage." A banking system is like a nuclear…

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Pivotal Events

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

Credit Spreads have been a disaster. A year ago, for example, junk was yielding 11%, at 6 percentage points over treasuries. Now the numbers are 22% at a huge 17.5…

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Currencies Battle for Dirtbag Supremacy

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

Equally weird is that gold is also paradoxically going down in price, even though the dollar is going down in buying power because inflation is higher than the yields the…

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The Weekly Report

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

How effective the IMF would be in the face of global financial systemic failure is questionable, they currently do not have the reserves to make much difference to a medium…

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On the Horizon: The Day Ahead: October 15, 2008

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

Day Ahead: Major event risk for the day will be the resetting of LIBOR fixings and the LIBOR-OIS spread. We expect price action in markets to be shaped by where…

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Capitalism Without Capital?

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

Not only is our nation on the verge of bankruptcy, but so are its people and private institutions. We are now repeatedly hearing about businesses "needing to access the credit…

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Stock Markets - A Reversal of Fortune?

Oct 14, 2008 at 00:00

Interestingly, after the 1929 crash (October 28 and 29) the Dow's movements over the following five days were: +12.3%, +5.8%, -5.8%, -9.9% and +2.6%). Subsequent to 1987's Black Monday (October…