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Markets

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Technical Market Report

Aug 16, 2008 at 00:00

The market remains overbought, especially the secondaries, but there has been no significant deterioration of the indicators and the secondaries have stronger than the blue chips. I expect the major…

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Dysfunctional Pricing Backdrop

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

The divergence between underlying fundamental developments and market trading dynamics became only more striking this week. July Consumer Prices were reported up 5.6% from a year earlier, the largest y-o-y…

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Monthly Summary

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

Today's action was very subdued for an options expiry day, but we are in the middle of summer so maybe that was a factor ... For next week a break…

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Review: Profit from the Peak

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

Is the end of a cheap fossil fuel era at hand? How will we make the transition from a world dependent on hydrocarbon energy to one powered by a mix…

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The Silver "Reverse" Bubble of 2008

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

As an investor, speculator and researcher in the silver market for over 5 years, I have to say that I am (temporarily) stunned at the extraordinary recent events in the…

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The Impact of Negative Real Interest Rates

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

Real rates are now even lower than they ever got during the Fed's aggressive reflation campaign earlier this decade. They are, in fact, the lowest they've been since 1980.

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Epic Gold-Stock Buying Op

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

Although the HUI has a well-deserved reputation for extreme volatility, this selloff was still exceptional. Typically, sharp HUI declines emerge after major uplegs from high levels. But as you'll see…

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Institutions Were Noncommittal this Morning, But Watch the VIX ...

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

It is option's expiration day today, and as you saw on yesterday's update, the VIX is poised to have a breakout sometime today or Monday. I don't expect the Institutional…

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The Strong Dollar Illusion

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

The conventional wisdom is that foreign economies depend on Americans to buy their exports. This is false. The global expansion of the past decade has created new demand everywhere, and…

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Silver Gets Spiked!

Aug 15, 2008 at 00:00

Traders enjoy the leverage that can be obtained using futures and options; however, I would like to bring to your attention the ability for you to invest with commodity-like leverage…