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Markets

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Will Gold Fall in the Summer Doldrums?

May 05, 2008 at 00:00

The gold market in the past has been seasonal, with the rule being, "Sell in May and go away". This lull in demand usually started in May and lasted until…

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Bernanke Gets It Wrong

May 05, 2008 at 00:00

Unfortunately the economic commentariat -- including Bernanke -- have not grasped the fact that every credit fuelled boom inevitably ends in recession, even though no one can really predict the…

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Entry Alert - U.S. Dollar Index Call

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

The end of the bear trend in the JUNE 2008 U.S. DOLLAR INDEX is in effect as signaled by the breaking of the 45 degree trend line (above) drawn from…

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Market Update: Turn Off the TV

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

Most traders, if they were able to filter out the noise and focus on charts, probably still did what they were trained to do: sell every trendline, Fibonacci retrace, divergence…

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Precious Points: All That Glitters

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

In the interest of objectivity, the last update featured two extreme opposite counts in gold, one short term bullish the other short term bearish, and one was invalidated last week…

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Turning Points

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

I have a theory that may explain this sluggishness. The Hurst 9-mo cycle was ideally supposed to make its low next week (38 weeks from the 4.5yr cycle in August),…

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A Brief Cyclical Overview of the Dollar

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

... in the wake of the overwhelmingly bearish outlook on the dollar the last couple of months, my mood on the dollar has been changing. Reason being, we have once…

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The "Recession Trade" Is Over

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

Momentum is still clearly on the side of the commodities markets, but the negative change in momentum for this class is the largest of any class. Only commodities and foreign…

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The Weekly Report

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

I have spoken about moral hazard before, especially in relation to the current actions carried out by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England after the bailouts of Bear…

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One Size Doesn't Fit All

May 04, 2008 at 00:00

The barometer remains in Buy Mode and has so for 11 trading days (on Monday). We've been expecting the markets to move higher into 5/23 (our key reversal date) but…