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Markets

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Oh, Magoo, You've Done It Again!

Mar 18, 2008 at 00:00

Alan Greenspan's instinct for self-exculpation reached new heights in the March 17, 2008, Financial Times. In "We Will Never Have a Perfect Model for Risk," he writes a model essay…

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Welcome to the Future

Mar 18, 2008 at 00:00

Deflation was the scourge of the first great depression, and it is what Bernanke was hired to prevent. With his years of study and deep knowledge of the Great Depression…

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Stagflation and Other Misconceptions

Mar 18, 2008 at 00:00

The perceived need to have a distinct label for the supposedly strange coupling of rising prices and falling growth stems from the erroneous belief that strong economic growth causes prices…

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The US Dollar Index: The Bear Market Carries On!

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

While the past is not always a reliable guide as to what the future may bring, it can give us a prescience of what may lie ahead. The chart below…

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Oops and a Triple Yikes!

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

Financial distress continued through the weekend, which inspired policymakers to heroic, but nevertheless orthodox remedies. The notion that some philosopher-king and his committee can prevent or defer the severe credit…

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Bear Stearns, Liquidity and Bank Run

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

Bear Stearns is in a worse situation than LTCM in the sense that clients of hedge funds have many limitations to withdraw their capital, and they can not withdraw at…

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Inflation Is Baked into the Cake

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

The word "inflation" covers two different concepts, and it's important to keep them separate. One concept is monetary inflation, which is when the supply of money increases faster than the…

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The Dual Paradigms Of Macro Economic Conditions Today

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

Many are now categorizing current macro economic conditions as being an instance of stagflation. And while current circumstances definitely appear to be so, in my opinion one needs to go…

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Game Theory

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

Are politicians giving in to the greedy interests of the Wall Street power brokers simply to gain brownie points during election season or is there something more powerful at work…

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Perestroika for the USA

Mar 17, 2008 at 00:00

Increasingly the US economy is beginning to look like that of the Soviet Empire before its collapse. The authorities there simply wallpapered over the rot of a sclerotic economy and…