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Markets

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Technical Market Report

Mar 01, 2008 at 00:00

Another rally stalled last week and seasonally, March during the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle, has a spotty record at best. I expect the major indices to be lower…

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The Far Too Simple Beauty Of The Promises We've Made

Mar 01, 2008 at 00:00

Trajectory, growth, rhythm and magnitude of global credit derivatives expansion is quite like the character we observed above for the US banking system proper. In three short years, global CDS…

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Stagflation and the Fed

Mar 01, 2008 at 00:00

The classic definition of stagflation is a period of high and rising inflation, which coincides with a recession or very slow growth. Let's look at 10 recent items which have…

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No LTCM

Mar 01, 2008 at 00:00

Importantly, the nature of systemic liquidity and Credit risks has become a major risk factor working against leveraged speculating. Or, said differently, the Bubble in leveraged speculation has burst.

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Like Beauty, the Value of Gold and the Dollar are in the Eye of the Beholder

Feb 29, 2008 at 00:00

Everyone has their theory on why the US dollar is sagging - huge deficits, slowing economy, high inflation, artificially low interest rates, subprime issues etc. I am not sure if…

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Paper Tiger Preying on Gold Bugs

Feb 29, 2008 at 00:00

Friedman's floating exchange rate system has served the U.S. and the world badly. It's been an unmitigated disaster. A return to the regime of fixed exchange rates should be considered…

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Will Citigroup Go to the Teens?

Feb 29, 2008 at 00:00

Let us just look at Citigroup. The Wall Street earnings consensus is $2.91 for 2008 and $3.66 for 2009. It doesn't look like it is going to happen now. Actually…

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No Market Bottom in Sight Yet as the Fed Fails

Feb 29, 2008 at 00:00

The Fed has failed to stop the credit crisis and prevent the stock market from correcting again. What this means is that future rates cuts are unlikely to solve the…

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Hear Me Now - Believe Me Later

Feb 29, 2008 at 00:00

Having neither the will nor the means to confront our major economic challenges, Washington is instead hanging its hopes on words alone.

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The Anti-Gold Gospel According to Frieden

Feb 29, 2008 at 00:00

Jeff Frieden has been quoted as saying that, if once more on a gold standard, the United States would be unable to respond quickly and effectively to sudden economic shocks...