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Markets

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Pivotal Events

Feb 16, 2008 at 00:00

Inevitably, as most traditional corporate bonds become toxic the revulsion will spread to long treasuries. It is also worth thinking about all the high-grade bonds still held by banks and…

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Technical Market Report

Feb 16, 2008 at 00:00

The rally off the lows of January (early February for the OTC) has been less robust than I would like to see, but new lows suggest an intermediate term bottom…

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Buy or Sell

Feb 16, 2008 at 00:00

We remain in Buy Mode, expecting the market to trade higher into 3/6. However, we are paying close attention to the pattern in the Qs, as a break in any…

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What Would Warren Do?

Feb 16, 2008 at 00:00

Last summer we were repeatedly told subprime problems would not spread to other markets. "The problems will be contained," proclaimed one authority after another. Now of course we know that…

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The Breakdown of Wall Street Alchemy

Feb 15, 2008 at 00:00

In a disconcerting development, recent market developments seem to confirm that the leveraged speculating community and the GSEs are poised as the next shoes to drop - the next Dominoes…

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General Market Action

Feb 15, 2008 at 00:00

Standard Deviation Analysis: The premise here is simple. When either the +3sd band or negative -3Sd bands are hit; it suggests that an oversold or overbought condition is in the…

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15%

Feb 15, 2008 at 00:00

While it was a tentative month with some wild swings, in the end the volatility was contained within a trading range between about 1300 and 1400, which had our position…

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Recession Debate Turns Toward Inflation

Feb 15, 2008 at 00:00

Some will say that the government's stimulus package will shorten the duration of the economic contraction and that the economy will rebound in the second half of 2008. Sound familiar?…

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Businesses Advised To Walk Away

Feb 15, 2008 at 00:00

Banks knowingly and willingly gave homeowners a free PUT option when they financed homes at zero percent down. It's just a business decision. Businesses break contracts all the time.

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Contrarian and Sentiment Indicators

Feb 15, 2008 at 00:00

As I have mentioned in our commentaries over the last several weeks, it is important to keep in mind that the latest bubble has been in U.S. housing and structured…