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Markets

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How Did OTC Derivatives Get School Districts into Trouble?

Feb 13, 2008 at 00:00

There was a not-well-publicized article at Bloomberg.com early last week, detailing how many school districts in Pennsylvania have got into big trouble due to OTC (over the counter) derivative products…

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Was I right on my call on Commercial Real Estate Crashing?

Feb 13, 2008 at 00:00

It appears that now, the price movement in CRE and CMBS is unmistakeably negative. To begin with, it takes money to buy buildings and when you buy buildings you increase…

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Gold-USD Decoupling as Gold Approaches $1,000

Feb 13, 2008 at 00:00

January is over and what a roller coaster month it has been for the investment community. You may recall that in last month's sector-wide TA update we made a point…

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The Ex Ante Factor: Endaka

Feb 12, 2008 at 00:00

There is no doubt the unwinding of the yen carry trade has exacerbated the recent period of de-leveraging. After all, by nature of the carry trade, much of the leverage…

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Technical Breakdowns May Call For More Hedging

Feb 12, 2008 at 00:00

Based on recent technical breakdowns in many risk-based investments, the probability of investors incurring additional losses over an extended period of time has increased. Both the technical and fundamental outlook…

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The Plague of the Witch Doctors

Feb 12, 2008 at 00:00

"Here we are yet again in the midst of another 'global economic crisis'," says financial analyst, Nicholas Vardy, editor of The Global Guru. Vardy is not reporting, but mocking. For…

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Gold Thoughts

Feb 12, 2008 at 00:00

By the time you read this, more than enough words will have been expended on the possible sale of Gold by the IMF. Therefore, my comments on the matter will…

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Pivotal Events

Feb 12, 2008 at 00:00

Our concern has been that the loss in liquidity in corporate bonds and weird stuff would eventually pull down the price of long treasuries. This could be the point when…

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Quick Updates on Coal and Base Metals

Feb 12, 2008 at 00:00

Large vertical price rises are always bearish beyond the very short-term because they only ever happen towards the ends of rallies. The coal market will clearly reach some sort of…

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Coffee Udate: Eight Year High Signals Further Gains!

Feb 11, 2008 at 00:00

For the last six years, the price of coffee has been in a Primary Advance that has mapped out a large Multi-year Head & Shoulders Bottoming pattern that has an…