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Markets

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Fundamental Portfolio Gives Itself A Makeover

Jan 05, 2008 at 00:00

Fundamental is a moderately low-beta, moderately low-turnover trading plan for stocks traded on major U.S. exchanges. It focuses on providing above-market returns over the longer term while keeping a variability…

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Technical Market Report

Jan 05, 2008 at 00:00

The market is very oversold and likely to rally. I expect the major indices to be higher on Friday January 11 than they were on Friday January 4.

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Forecast 2008: Recession and Recovery

Jan 05, 2008 at 00:00

As is usual for the forecast issue, we begin by looking at how I did last year. All in all, not bad. I correctly predicted the housing and subprime crisis,…

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Big Ben

Jan 05, 2008 at 00:00

The US FED is one of the only private institutions on the planet that controls monetary policy of a country by printing money for them and charging interest rates. This…

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Issues 2008

Jan 04, 2008 at 00:00

I'll cut to the chase somewhat and highlight three of the major themes for what will surely be a tumultuous and historic 2008: An ongoing bust in "Wall Street-backed" finance;…

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A Reminder Concerning Popular Housing Indices

Jan 04, 2008 at 00:00

The National Association of Realtors released results stating sales actually rose .04% (statistically significant?), but were down 20% from last year with prices down across the board. The Times Online…

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A "Head and Shoulders" Top for the Dow Jones Industrials

Jan 04, 2008 at 00:00

Let's say the US economy goes into a deeper than expected slide and gets slammed with a nasty recession, S&P 500 profits shrivel up, and banks get hit with hundreds…

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Intellectual Hysteria

Jan 04, 2008 at 00:00

The title Intellectual Hysteria may seem like a non-sequiter. Regretably it is not, and starting with Thomas Malthus at the end of the 1700s, there have been some outstanding examples…

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Mega Move Underway, Stay With It

Jan 04, 2008 at 00:00

As we enter 2008, gold is hitting a new record high. That's a great way to kick off the new year and it looks like there's a lot more to…

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Real Estate Deflation 12: Beware the Falling Knife!

Jan 04, 2008 at 00:00

It wasn't long ago my columns on real estate deflation brought their share of "You're an idiot!" emails. Funny, but I miss those blind-faith, "Rising-real estate-values-are-our-birthright!" scoldings. They always translated…