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Markets

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Do You Remember When I Said Commercial Real Estate Was Sure To Fall?

Dec 20, 2007 at 00:00

Neophyte and/or overzealous (like those who bought from Blackrock recently) investors are sure to be bathed in buyer's remorse as well, as the realization of purchasing at the top of…

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Explosive Money Supply Fuels Global Inflation

Dec 20, 2007 at 00:00

The worst is yet to come for the global banking system, which faces potential losses of more than half-trillion dollars from investments in toxic sub-prime US mortgage debt.

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Stock Cycles

Dec 20, 2007 at 00:00

A recession in 2009 falls into the range specified above based on cycle length. So even if oil prices do stay high it is likely that the time table I…

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To Negative Infinity - And Beyond

Dec 20, 2007 at 00:00

In short, the banks loaned every additional dime of the trillions of dollars that they took in! And then more on top of that! No additional reserves at all! Not…

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Inflation Inflates

Dec 20, 2007 at 00:00

Inflation is not a threat anymore, its here. Corporate margins are at a record high level and will be under pressure from rising cost, but from lower sales volumes as…

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Not Yet Time To Throw In The Towel

Dec 20, 2007 at 00:00

With more bad news surfacing almost daily on the topics of housing, structured investment vehicles (SIVS), and the general credit markets, the odds of a recession and continued difficulty for…

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Balancing Risk in a Time of Crisis

Dec 19, 2007 at 00:00

Faced with the very real threat of a deep recession caused by a freeze-up in credit, falling home values and soaring loan defaults, the Fed is left with a rock-and-a-hard-place…

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Banks, Brokers, and Bullsh1+ Part 1

Dec 19, 2007 at 00:00

Last week, Morgan Stanley called Citibank the "short play of the year for 2008". That is rather rare - an investment bank not only issuing a plainly worded sell recommendation,…

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Market Follies and US Dollar Index Update

Dec 19, 2007 at 00:00

...Think of each USD as a snowflake, which by itself is nothing. Collectively though, the trillions of USD similar to the snowflakes blanketing a city are instead blanketing the globe.…

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The Copper Outlook

Dec 18, 2007 at 00:00

Copper is one of the most useful metals on this planet. It's resistant to corrosion, a good conductor of electricity and it's also flexible. It is used in so many…