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Markets

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ECB Breaks US Dollar's Neck

Dec 09, 2007 at 00:00

While the ECB is still a central bank and therefore not very far removed from the institution's in-bred bias toward market manipulation, it plays an entirely different game than the…

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Financial Taxidermy - Lessons in Being Stuffed

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

A picture is said to be worth 1000 words, so each picture is supposed to be representative of the thoughts of each individual at a certain point in the stock…

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Seasonal Thrust?

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

We remain in BUY MODE as the market is poised to rally, considering that a short term consolidation is due before we continue higher as we've been up for the…

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CRB Indices Say Ome More Leg Up

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

While the number of articles calling for a major top in the commodities increases with the fears of recession, the charts tell a different story.

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Signs of the Times

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

Credit Spreads: Some improvement in spreads has been expected to accompany the recovery in the stock market. Then beginning in late December troubles in spreadland could resume - eventually to…

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Technical Market Report

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

The market is overbought and likely to stall for a few days before continuing to move upward. I expect the major indices to be higher on Friday December 14 than…

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Black Swans and Endogenous Uncertainty

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

How does the risk of default in California or Thailand get spread throughout the world, causing problem in money market funds in Europe and Florida? Yes, we can trace the…

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Fundamental

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

Fundamental is a moderately low-beta, moderately low-turnover trading plan for stocks traded on major U.S. exchanges. It focuses on providing above-market returns over the longer term while keeping a variability…

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Q3 2007 "Flow of Funds"

Dec 08, 2007 at 00:00

...I believe the key insight to be drawn from the Q3 2007 "Flow of Funds" is the recognition of the enormous scope of ongoing Credit creation now required to sustain…

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25 or 50?

Dec 07, 2007 at 00:00

The subprime bailout, oh excuse me "workout", might stem the tide, but it is doubtful that it will reverse it or be able to fend off a recession. Investors will…