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Markets

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Technical Market Report

Nov 17, 2007 at 00:00

The market is oversold going into a seasonally strong period. I expect the major indices to be higher on Friday November 23 than they were on Friday November 16.

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How do You Spell Stagflation?

Nov 17, 2007 at 00:00

If you extrapolate the inflation of the past two months for the next two months, that would take inflation slightly over 4% as we go into the next two Fed…

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Credit Crunch

Nov 17, 2007 at 00:00

With the securitization market severely impaired and Wall Street reeling, the Banking sector balance sheet has now ballooned $550bn (21% annualized) over the past 16 weeks. How can this not…

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Are the Margin Debt levels on the New York Stock Exchange sending us a message?

Nov 17, 2007 at 00:00

Yesterday, I looked at the NYSE Margin Debt levels. On a short term basis, they don't tell you a whole lot, but from a longer term perspective they do tell…

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Gold in Second Gear - Fed Out of Gas!

Nov 16, 2007 at 00:00

As observed in August, gold has broken out of its first gear and ratcheted into second gear back in early 2006, not long before its top for that year. Although…

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Gold ETF Impact 3

Nov 16, 2007 at 00:00

Three years ago on November 18th a landmark event polarized the gold world. The first gold exchange-traded fund to trade in the United States, the StreetTracks Gold Shares, was launched.…

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Less Than Zero

Nov 16, 2007 at 00:00

...Hardly anyone's noticed, but the frenzy of safe-haven bond-buying has just pushed real yields on US Treasuries below zero...

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Subprime Consumers

Nov 16, 2007 at 00:00

When home prices skyrocketed in the early part of this decade, everyone seemed to forget that the subprime borrowers were high risk by definition. Now that losses are snowballing, lenders…

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With Friends Like 'U.S', Who Needs Enemies?

Nov 16, 2007 at 00:00

I found Nicolas Sarkozy's speech last week before a joint session of Congress to be quite interesting and revealing. "Sarkozy l'Américain" put on a very moving address, to be sure,…

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More Declines in Asian Holdings of US Tsrys

Nov 16, 2007 at 00:00

Foreigners were net sellers of US long term securities in September at $14.7b after $150.7b in net selling in August. But foreign net long-term purchases showed a rebound to net…