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Markets

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Yield Spreads Telling a Different Story

Oct 31, 2007 at 00:00

Since the Fed has stopped publishing M-3 statistics, this author has revised our MEM indicator accordingly. Instead of using M-3, we are now using a monetary indicator that most closely…

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The Ex Ante Factor: The Devil and Ben Bernanke

Oct 31, 2007 at 00:00

In addition to the FOMC meeting, this Wednesday we celebrate Halloween. The most recognizable symbol of Halloween is no doubt the Jack O'Lantern and the legend of "Stingy Jack" tells…

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What Inverse Data is Saying About Market Conditions and Risk Levels

Oct 31, 2007 at 00:00

... All of this makes Bernanke's announcement very important today. He has a tough problem to solve. He can opt for no rate cut and try to save the Dollar…

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Agri-Food Thoughts

Oct 30, 2007 at 00:00

Preparing comments on any investment topic day before FOMC announces U.S. interest rate policy is probably a futile gesture. That the announcement comes on Halloween provides an opportunity for cutesy…

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The Ghosts of Halloween Haunt the US Dollar

Oct 30, 2007 at 00:00

... But if "B-52" Ben delivers another big-bang, a half-point rate cut to 4.25%, it might unleash a cadre of evil spirits, ghosts, and demons that would haunt the US…

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Canadian Juniors Rocketing in Gold Rally

Oct 30, 2007 at 00:00

The gold market is on the march again. Not too long ago, a week after the XAU gold stock index rallied to 182 and then pulled back to 175, I…

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Digital Nirvana And The Unfolding Mania In Precious Metals

Oct 29, 2007 at 00:00

So, anybody tries to tell you this move in precious metals will be over soon, you know what to tell them - bull pucky. And while a correction my be…

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Bubbles or Balloons?

Oct 29, 2007 at 00:00

It has become popular to the point of redundancy to refer to any extended bull market as a "bubble." The private equity trend? That's a "bubble" by the definition of…

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Inflation in China

Oct 29, 2007 at 00:00

The Chinese markets are caught up in a mania of speculation fueled by relatively low bank deposit interest rates, rumors, relatively good economic fundamentals, and corporate takeovers.

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Technical Market Report

Oct 29, 2007 at 00:00

Seasonal patterns are improving and the Fed is likely to lower rates. I expect the major indices to be higher on Friday November 2 than they were on Friday October…