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Markets

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The Birth/Death Ratio

Jul 14, 2007 at 00:00

The official headline number for June was 132,000 new jobs. Since we need about 150,000 new jobs just to stay even with population growth, that is hardly a robust number,…

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Pressure Cooker of Inflationary Food Prices

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

The whole freaking world could turn to 100% biofuels tomorrow, and demand for food could keep rising...while the supply of food could actually go down, but that does NOT mean…

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Inflation Analysis

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

The Fed is forever fond of gauging "long-run inflation expectations" by measuring the difference in yields between nominal and inflation-indexed bonds. In the current financial backdrop, this is comforting but…

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The Outlook for Gold, Stocks and Global Inflation

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

Why is it that the higher equities prices go, the more bearish the public becomes? I believe it's attributable to the negativity in the mainstream headline news. How can the…

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Q2 Retail Sales - Well, At Least Prez Plosser Has Exports

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

On July 11, Philly Fed President Plosser said that he was optimistic about U.S. consumer spending and exports. Today's report of a 0.9% in nominal retail sales suggests that President…

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Philly Fed Prez Plosser: Consumer Spending, Exports Are Cause for Optimism

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

Really? Light motor vehicle sales down for six consecutive months (see Chart 1) is cause for consumer spending optimism? Bed Bath & Beyond, Best Buy, Circuit City, Sears Holdings, Home…

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The Three Faces of a Gold Stock Breakout

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

The past year has been long and hard on gold stock investors. Our patience and resolve have been repeatedly put to the test. It took courage to hold one's ground…

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Gold Bull Seasonals 2

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

Seasonality also exists in gold. There are times of the calendar year when gold tends to do well and other times when it does not. Although there are many varying…

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When Bad Debts Attack

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

...Memo to the US Fed: When the Dollar collapse comes, you might not get chance to even give money away...

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Time to Face the Music

Jul 13, 2007 at 00:00

In a sign of desperation, the U.S. has dispatched Housing and Urban Development Secretary Alphonso Jackson to Beijing to beg the Chinese to use some of their $1.3 trillion in…