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Markets

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Manufacturing Slows, Earnings Remain Strong

Oct 26, 2006 at 00:00

There have been some indications that economic growth has sputtered over the past several months. Over the summer, consumers balked as energy prices soared. Just as consumers started regaining their…

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It Is The Dollar Stupid! 2

Oct 26, 2006 at 00:00

There is no top or bottom on its own. It is discovered in the action, probing by bulls and bears and the outcome is probabilistic, just as the outcome of…

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Leading Indicators Continue To Suggest Solid Growth In Euro-zone in 2007

Oct 26, 2006 at 00:00

All told, it seems that German manufacturers are more sanguine about the hefty three percentage point increase in the VAT rate that kicks in on January 1st, which suggests that…

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The Importance of the "Roll Return" in Commodity Futures Returns

Oct 25, 2006 at 00:00

"Roll Return" is the difference between the current spot (what you pay if you "consume" the commodity today) and the futures contract price. It is also the return a futures…

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Positive Reality Therapy for Americas Critical "States of Denial" - Part II

Oct 28, 2006 at 00:00

Five or ten years ago, if you had told the American middle-class that their homes would be worth what they are today, you would have been considered insane. Everyone knew…

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Elliott Wave on Silver

Oct 25, 2006 at 00:00

Silver appears to be in a triangle pattern currently in wave (E) down. We should see minor downside for Silver before a reversal and subsequent breakout to the upside. The…

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E-Economic Newsletter

Oct 25, 2006 at 00:00

I was totally, totally unprepared for Total Fed Credit going up only $352 million last week. Less than a half-billion dollars! I mean, if you are going to continue to…

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Things are about to get Interesting around here

Oct 25, 2006 at 00:00

Recent stock market (SM) strength took a lot of people - including me - by surprise! In the face of ongoing negative news, a weak housing picture, slowing economy, an…

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Central Europe Takes A Breather, But The Sense Of Calm Is Unlikely To Last

Oct 25, 2006 at 00:00

As expected, the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) hiked its policy interest rate again today, but in contrast with last month the NBH is likely to be the only one…

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Earnings, Confidence, and Boxes

Oct 25, 2006 at 00:00

To be sure there have been some earnings successes with Apple and Google and others, but in the end how many jobs are those companies going to be able to…