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Markets

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July PCE Price Inflation - Fed Stays on Hold at September Meeting?

Sep 01, 2006 at 00:00

Whew! Including all items, the July PCE price index advanced 0.3% month to month. Excluding food and energy, it was up just 0.1% after three consecutive months of 0.2% increases.

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Close Call

Aug 31, 2006 at 00:00

The slowing housing market has started to cause concern in the credit market. Last week, H&R Block announced that its will set aside $61 million for possible losses due to…

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McKinnons Rule: An Honest Hypothesis Tested With "Corrupt" Data?

Aug 31, 2006 at 00:00

My problem with the "McKinnon Rule" is that the Chinese consumer inflation data are suspect. My China expert and colleague, Jim Pressler, tells me that a lot of the component…

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Beware of Simplified Models

Aug 31, 2006 at 00:00

Given that many oil and natural gas drilling rigs have "beefed up" their defenses in light of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, there is a strong likelihood that the chance of…

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The Exportation of the American Lifestyle

Aug 31, 2006 at 00:00

There is one somewhat bright spot here. Entrepreneurial individuals can start to prepare themselves for a new big business opportunity in credit counseling and debt management is going to emerge.

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Semiconductor Stocks Recently Lead, Cyclical Info or Light-Trading Noise?

Aug 30, 2006 at 00:00

In addition to the recent signs of a little strength in semiconductors and the tech-laden Nasdaq 100, a couple of other very short-term movements in the global equity markets the…

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Trading Triangle Breakouts

Aug 30, 2006 at 00:00

When prices fluctuate in a smaller range over time a triangle formation occurs. Triangle patterns are some of the best trading opportunities in financial markets. Our favorite aspect of triangles…

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Vulnerabilities

Aug 30, 2006 at 00:00

We are now entering the hurricane season... But we were referring to the hurricane season for the stock market. Contrary to popular opinion, October is not the worst month of…

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Gold Market Update

Aug 30, 2006 at 00:00

After a lengthy period consolidating in a large trading range gold is now in position to break higher. It has behaved pretty much as predicted in the last update, dropping…

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Silver Market Update

Aug 30, 2006 at 00:00

Silver is now in position to advance. Although it appears to have "done nothing" price wise over the past month, moving sideways within a narrow range, its technical condition is…