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Markets

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Real M2 Growth Signaling U.S. Economic Slowdown

Jun 17, 2006 at 00:00

I'm getting a lot of commentary mileage out of the May CPI report. On Wednesday, I wrote about the CPI data themselves. On Thursday, I wrote about CPI-adjusted retail sales,…

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Charts and Commentary

Jun 17, 2006 at 00:00

I had a subscriber call about the Fear Index yesterday and we had a good discussion about the impact of fear levels on another dimension ... so I will share…

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Oil and the 8-year Cycle

Jun 17, 2006 at 00:00

In view of the approaching 8-year cycle bottom we've been discussing in recent articles let's examine the crude oil market compared to previous cycles for ideas on what to expect…

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Mr. Douglas R. Gillespie, Sr.

Jun 17, 2006 at 00:00

I lost a dear friend and colleague this week. Doug Gillespie was such a good man, and where I come from praise doesn't come any higher.

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Expected Metals Corrections

Jun 17, 2006 at 00:00

This past Tuesday the entire precious metals realm watched in stunned silence as gold plunged 7.3% and silver plummeted 10.8% in a single trading day. Not surprisingly with gold bleeding…

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Sailing Withhout an Anchor!

Jun 16, 2006 at 00:00

Since the "tech wreck" in 2000, this excessive capital floating around the system has found a refuge in real-estate. Today, the public's money is predominantly in property and everyone is…

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Industrial Production - Weakness Developing In Household-Related Sector

Jun 16, 2006 at 00:00

It appears as though the weakness in housing and consumer spending is beginning to show up in production, or lack thereof. Related to housing, production of appliances, furniture and carpeting…

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All Items or Core Inflation - You Can Tighten Now or Tighten Later

Jun 16, 2006 at 00:00

Do you know who popularized the concept of "core" inflation? Fed Chairman Arthur Burns. Back in the early 1970s, when both energy and food prices were soaring, Burns needed a…

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Addendum: The Oil That Greases The Squeaky Wheel of Peak Oil

Jun 16, 2006 at 00:00

Having received a couple of e-mails from folks claiming to know much more than myself about geology [which, by the way - is not hard to do] claiming that "it's…

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Bernanke Talks Down Risky Assets: Another "Hot Money" Temper Tantrum, or a Major Economic Trend Change?

Jun 15, 2006 at 00:00

So far Bernanke and his colleagues on the Fed have managed to talk down the most risky asset classes that were threatening to spiral out of control in March-April, especially…