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Markets

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Intermediate-term Outlook for the US Stock Market

Apr 07, 2006 at 00:00

The US stock market appears, on the surface, to have been quite firm over the past several months, but in real terms (that is, relative to gold) the market has…

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ECB Less Hawkish But Rates Still Headed Upward

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

ECB President Trichet jolted markets this morning when he downplayed the probability of a May rate hike after the "no change" announcement from the ECB's Governing Council.

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Retail Sales Wane

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

The National Association of Realtors reported that the increase in home sales was almost entirely due to the purchase of second homes, either vacation homes or homes purchased as an…

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The (Rude) Awakening

Apr 07, 2006 at 00:00

In response to the bursting of the stock market bubble of the late 90s, in 2001, the Federal Reserve began slashing interest rates, from 6.5 to 1 percent by 2003,…

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Run Away From US Stocks?

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

After hitting a 5-year high yesterday the Nasdaq is up by 110% since its October 7, 2002 bottom. If this blistering pace keeps up the Nasdaq will be back above…

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A Look at the DJIA in the Intermediate Term

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

The DJIA has been in an intermediate advance since the October 2004 low at 9757, this is shown with a weekly close only line chart in CHART W #1. Within…

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The Business Cycle - Where are we currently?

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

Economists use numerous regularly released surveys, statistics and reports to try and predict the future direction of the economy. But ... perhaps the most reliable and most available parameters are…

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Market Political Risks Rising: U.S. Immigration...

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

This post will focus on political risks. The U.S. immigration debate is an example of the American public yet once again being emotionally divided and pitted against each other, absent…

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April Snow Showers, Chinese FX Whispers

Apr 06, 2006 at 00:00

We expect US Secretary John Snow to resign this month. The deafening silence of the US Treasury chief in the midst of the US-China fx talk of the past 4…

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McHugh's Daily Market Briefing

Apr 05, 2006 at 00:00

We now have all of our short-term signals on "buys." Liquidity is lifting all boats higher, including precious metals. Only Bonds and the Dollar are struggling, which would make sense…