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Markets

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Weekly Wrap-up: Logics and Targets for 2006

Feb 07, 2006 at 00:00

Our baseline forecast is for the market to be topping out sometime in 1H February, and then to struggle until it puts in a significant low in the vicinity of…

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EWP on the DOW and S&P 500

Feb 06, 2006 at 00:00

Elliott was developed shortly after the great the 1929 Great Bear Market. A great deal has changed since Elliott time. Our knowledge based has moved on. This is particularly from…

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Would Hayak Hoard Gold?

Feb 06, 2006 at 00:00

With the risk of systemic default, gold's greatest drawback becomes its greatest advantage: it cannot default. It is the only financial asset that one can own that does not appear…

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The Energy Sector Remains Volatile

Feb 06, 2006 at 00:00

The energy market remains volatile, and we expect it will remain so for some time. Some of the recent developments that we think will have an impact on future market…

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The End Game

Feb 06, 2006 at 00:00

As we've said many times in the past, keeping the inflation going is not the real challenge for the Fed; rather, the real challenge for the Fed is to keep…

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Paper

Feb 06, 2006 at 00:00

In trying to determine the dollar's coming moves, it will of course be helpful to watch competing currencies, first and foremost the Euro. Here we see an inverted picture of…

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Ahead of the Yield Curve

Feb 05, 2006 at 00:00

Next week we see the first auction for 30 year bonds in about 4 years. They are going to place $10 billion. I bet there is a great deal of…

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Technical Market Report

Feb 05, 2006 at 00:00

Persistently high downside volume implies the top of this cycle is near. The recent high levels of new highs and low levels of new lows as well as relative strength…

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NYSE New Highs Warn of an Approaching Major Top in Equities

Feb 05, 2006 at 00:00

Since January 2004, the 10 day Average NYSE New Highs trend-line has declined steadily, diverging Bearishly with Prices. This has been going on for two years. Thus we are once…

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The Essence of the Greenspan Era

Feb 04, 2006 at 00:00

The Essence of The Greenspan Era is one of unprecedented "money" inflation, Credit inflation, asset inflation, financial wealth inflation, expectations inflation and obfuscation. The Essence of the Ongoing Greenspan Era…