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Markets

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The Weekly Review of Independent Opinions

Jan 25, 2006 at 00:00

The heavy down day in the indexes had some bad characteristics besides price. Volume was high. The VIX jumped from 11.98 to 14.56, and the VXN from 16.51 to 19.45.…

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The Great Silver Standoff...

Jan 25, 2006 at 00:00

The immediate outlook for gold very much depends on the outcome of the silver "war of attrition", being fought in the $8.80 - $9.30 zone. Silver's late December - early…

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Buying Bullion Keeps Getting Easier

Jan 25, 2006 at 00:00

While most investors seem satisfied using the shares of mining companies as high-beta substitutes for the metal, more and more individuals are becoming interested in owning some physical gold itself.…

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Germany: The Year of Recovery?

Jan 25, 2006 at 00:00

Is the German economy really headed into an upswing this year, as most analysts and commentators expect? Data releases over the next few days should help to clarify the picture.

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Trend Watch

Jan 25, 2006 at 00:00

Let's talk about the losing streak of WATTS. Historically, the longest losing streak of the WATTS signal is 3. That is, it's not unusual for WATTS to lose consecutively for…

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What Will Happen to Gold Shares in a Crashing U.S. Stock Market?

Jan 25, 2006 at 00:00

As some of you probably already know, there are a multitude of reasons why I believe the broader stock markets are about to meet a financial Freddy Krueger. I won't…

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Weekly Wrap-up: How Tight will the Fed Cinch the Belt

Jan 24, 2006 at 00:00

It has been our view in this space that the Fed, despite all rhetorical posturing to the contrary, is indeed targeting asset prices with its current program of measured rate…

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Iran's Ayatollah could Unleash the "Oil Weapon" in 2006, Rattling Global Markets

Jan 24, 2006 at 00:00

The main-stream media was searching for clues to explain the worst wreckage on Wall Street in almost three years on January 19th, with the Dow Jones Industrials falling 225 points,…

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Beware of Spells

Jan 24, 2006 at 00:00

Many investors appear to be missionary-zeal convinced that the Federal Reserve has inflation under control. Yet gold recently hit a near 25-year high and commodity indexes in 2005 enjoyed their…

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DJIA Timing System Short at 10,870

Jan 24, 2006 at 00:00

As the above chart implies, real consumption is set to decline going forward if we are to follow historical experience. Like we have mentioned in our past commentaries, the decline…