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Markets

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Inflation: What, Why and How

Nov 15, 2005 at 00:00

The total US money supply (M3) has expanded at a 10% annualised rate since mid-May and is up by around 7.5% over the past 12 months. This rapid rate of…

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China's Coal: Consolidating Black Gold

Nov 15, 2005 at 00:00

China is the world's largest producer of coal. While a small amount of that coal reaches foreign markets, most of it is destined for use at home. Indeed, coal accounts…

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The Most Vulnerable Sector

Nov 15, 2005 at 00:00

I believe we are now in the late stages of the cyclical bull market that began in October 2002. Moreover, our MarketThoughts "Excess M" (MEM) Indicator has been progressively getting…

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When Profits go Poof

Nov 15, 2005 at 00:00

Wall Street executives are always creatively stating reasons why investors should buy stocks. Because corporate profits have been so good, they want investors to look forward to the inevitable year-end…

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Weekly Wrap-up: What's Earnings Got to do with It?

Nov 15, 2005 at 00:00

With seasonal and valuation factors now working bullishly, we would expect momentum to pick up and for the 12-Month Disparity Index (which measures how high above its 12-mma the SPX…

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Bye-Bye M3, But Why?

Nov 14, 2005 at 00:00

Last Thursday afternoon, in what legitimately can be described as cryptic fashion, the Federal Reserve announced that commencing in March, it would stop releasing monetary aggregate "M3." Why?

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Gold Exploration: The Contra-Cyclical Bull Market is Starting

Nov 14, 2005 at 00:00

The possibility of a post-boom disinflation, or perhaps outright deflation, is daunting to conventional wisdom about gold. History shows that the real rise in the price of gold following a…

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Stock Market: CNBC Report

Nov 14, 2005 at 00:00

Crude Oil looks like it has changed its trend to down and if it has changed to down the only rally this week should be one or two days and…

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The Myth of the New American Gold Standard

Nov 14, 2005 at 00:00

There is nothing new about premature obituaries for the gold standard. In 1936 John Maynard Keynes noted in the book that has made his name world-famous (The General Theory of…

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The Great Debate!

Nov 14, 2005 at 00:00

The entire investment community seems to be obsessed with the appointment of Ben "Helicopter" Bernanke as the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve. "What will the new maestro do? Will…