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Markets

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Political Economic Reasons Why The Fed Is On The Cusp Of Pausing

Jul 01, 2005 at 00:00

Although the consensus thinks it is a slam dunk that the Fed will raise the funds rate another 25 basis points when the FOMC convenes again on August 9, I…

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UK Headed for Recession

Jul 01, 2005 at 00:00

In its quarterly national accounts, the Office of National Statistics revealed that UK GDP during the period grew by 0.4 pct from the previous quarter and 2.1 pct on a…

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Soviet Economics

Jul 01, 2005 at 00:00

Speaking of inflation, we haven't even gotten started talking about how the calculation itself is so hedonistically flawed. The Consumer Price Index, which is what the Bureau of Labor Statistics…

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The June 30 FOMC Statement and How it Differs from the May 3 Statement

Jul 01, 2005 at 00:00

Those who expect further rate hikes can easily point to the second conclusion stating that the real fed funds rate has yet to reach at least 3.0%. But with oil…

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The Euro: Why the Tortoise Could Yet Beat the Hare

Jul 01, 2005 at 00:00

It's no surprise that the consensus opinion has shifted radically against the euro in recent weeks. Currency movements, as with any market trend, of course do not move in predictable…

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Today's Fed and the Global Search for Yield

Jun 30, 2005 at 00:00

While price/earnings ratios are still near historic highs (with a P/E near 21 on the S&P 500, for example), that's certainly a far cry from the market's astounding peak valuation…

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The Elusive "Blow Off"

Jun 30, 2005 at 00:00

I still don't believe the probability favors the bull's side - there's just too much bullish sentiment given the overbought condition in the markets, the slowing global economy, and high…

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Will the Fed Remain "Measured"

Jun 30, 2005 at 00:00

The markets are focused on the FOMC meeting on Thursday. Everyone will focus on whether the Fed can remain measured. Even if the Fed drops its measured language, companies have…

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Mexico: The State, Oil and Silver

Jun 30, 2005 at 00:00

The giant Cantarell Oil Field lies deep under the water of the Gulf of Mexico. But in financial terms it stands astride the entire nation of Mexico. Since its discovery…

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Spotlight on Silver

Jun 29, 2005 at 00:00

If the wedge breaks, and I think it will, there is a good possibility of a drop all the way to the 6.50-6.70 area. If that support breaks, and right…