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Markets

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Gold Up as the Current Account Deficit Continues its Rise

Jun 18, 2005 at 00:00

The first quarter current account deficit has been released; it was higher than "the market" expected. Now $195.1 billion, an annual run rate of $780.4 billion; at this rate up…

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In Denial of Crisis: Part I

Jun 20, 2005 at 00:00

In a repeat of errors committed in the 1920's, failure of central bank monetary policy led to the 1990's dot.com stock market bubble and correction in 2000 which now reveals…

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Gold's Trifecta Reveals Dollar's Diminished Status

Jun 18, 2005 at 00:00

After years of trading in the euro's shadow, this week gold finally reclaimed its role as the safe haven of choice. In the last three weeks, Gold has risen against…

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Euro Gold E350!

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

In US dollar terms gold barely budged in the past week, generally meandering listlessly within a couple percent or so on either side of $430. It is certainly understandable why…

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Labor Market Continues To Show Less Vigor

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

I'm not a big fan of the monthly Employment Situation Report. It's a one-week snapshot of payrolls. It has all kinds of estimates (e.g. small business "birth/death" model) built into…

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To Da Moon!? Not so Fast...

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

As noted in the previous update, the HUI sported a possible H&S bottom. With the impulsive feel to the break of the neckline, it appears Huey will now look to…

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Currency Carry Trades

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

In the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Quarterly Review dated March 1999 there is a section titled "The yen carry trade and recent foreign exchange market volatility." This report describes…

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Breakout?

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

Well! It's been an interesting few weeks in the precious metals sector - - the patience of many (myself included) has been repeatedly stretched close to the limit. The breakdown…

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Where I See the Market Heading

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

We switched from a 50% long position to a completely neutral position in our DJIA Timing System on Monday morning at DJIA 10,485. A bit early, you may say -…

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Crude Awakening!

Jun 17, 2005 at 00:00

The majority of analysts, politicians and OPEC wise guys have been calling for a top in the oil price. This has been happening for the past 2 years now and…