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Markets

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Beware the Oil Slick!

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

The crude oil price remains an abiding concern for Wall Street as witnessed by the almost inverse correlation between daily stock market and oil price fluctuations. The sharp rally in…

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Cycle Paths

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

What stands out to us like a sore thumb in the current recovery cycle is the dichotomy of character relative to past economic recovery periods. In so many key economic…

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Market Update And Forecast

Jun 03, 2005 at 00:00

The saying "sell in May and go away" clearly did not apply to this year. With one trading day left the stock market has enjoyed the best month so far…

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An Update on the U.S. Housing Bubble

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

A big part of my argument for a housing bubble in the United States today stems from the fact that we are in fact experiencing such a divergence. A general…

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A Cycles Study

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

Several key cycle related factors are all playing on the trade in one way or another right now, as this new age of 'perfect' information the internet provides to the…

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Euro Blues

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

Their attitude may reflect a growing protectionist sentiment or at least opposition to full-fledged integration on nationalist grounds of some kind. The nationalists would feel that full integration would dilute…

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The Fed Opts for Growth, Ignoring Imbalances and Inflation

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher, using a baseball analogy, said the Fed is in its 8th inning, and will raise rates one more time at its next meeting.…

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BondWorks

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

Trading was subdued in the bond market this past week ahead of the long weekend in the US. That however did not stop Treasury bonds from grinding higher. We had…

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Commercial's Seek Hiding Dollar Bear

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

The price of gold has fallen by more than 4% since April 29 and open interest has declined in each of the last four weeks. Although hardly a 'wipeout', this…

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Hedge Funds, New Risk Measures Needed

Jun 02, 2005 at 00:00

New Risk Parameters needed. Have the old ones outlived their usefulness? Hedge Funds look set for their third month of losses. They are meant to deliver positive returns, and avoid…