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Markets

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Out of Aces

Feb 20, 2005 at 00:00

Throughout the course of financial history, a similar tale has been told over and over again: Overly confident businessmen and women that gulped at success and became drunk with power...only…

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Charting the Course of the Secular Bear Market

Feb 21, 2005 at 00:00

Four years ago, I introduced the Stock Cycle and the price to resources (P/R) valuation measure I use to track the cycle.[1] Figure 1 shows a plot of P/R defining…

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Silver Market Update

Feb 20, 2005 at 00:00

Although silver could spike higher towards $8 from here, the odds favour a reaction short-term, not merely because of the outlook for gold and the dollar, but for its own…

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Gold Market Update

Feb 20, 2005 at 00:00

While gold did not become anywhere near as overbought as silver on its mid-month run-up, the odds favour a short-term correction from here. There are several factors that taken together…

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Why You Should Own Gold & Dollars

Feb 20, 2005 at 00:00

There were two booms - gold, silver, and crude oil in 1980. Then if you look at The Economist's commodity index, it had an important high in 1988. The way…

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AMEX Oil Index (XOI)

Feb 19, 2005 at 00:00

The XOI continues to advance as expected, however, the index has 3-4 weeks remaining prior to a top being put in. The upper Bollinger bands are riding the index, which…

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The Dow-Gold Crossover, Part Two

Feb 19, 2005 at 00:00

What will happen now will show how much 'oomph' is left in the old US/Fed economic consortium. Greenspan has not indicated that faster rate rises are on the horizon. Continued…

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Technical Market Report

Feb 19, 2005 at 00:00

Last week I pointed out the unusual seasonal characteristics of the week before the Presidents day holiday. The market did the opposite. Monday and Tuesday which usually have had a…

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Bretton Woods, Part Two

Feb 19, 2005 at 00:00

What I want to do over the next few weeks is to show you why Greenspan is right. You must remain vigilant against complacency. The last "Big Thing" to come…

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It Has Everything to do with 'Finance,' Mr. Chairman

Feb 18, 2005 at 00:00

The dollar was notably unimpressive this week in spite of the jump in market yields and the marketplace's perception of a more hawkish Fed. The "reflation trade" is working well…