"No warning can save people determined to grow suddenly rich" - Lord Overstone
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Gold •205 days | 2,368.70 | +35.30 | +1.51% |
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Platinum •15 mins | 972.10 | +1.70 | +0.18% |
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WTI Crude •1 hour | 74.66 | +0.04 | +0.05% |
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Gasoline •1 hour | 2.049 | -0.017 | -0.80% |
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Ethanol •205 days | 2.161 | +0.000 | +0.00% |
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Silver •205 days | 30.82 | +1.16 | +3.92% |
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Silver • 205 days | 30.82 | +1.16 | +3.92% | |
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Copper • 205 days | 4.530 | +0.111 | +2.51% | |
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Brent Crude • 15 mins | 78.50 | +0.21 | +0.27% | |
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Natural Gas • 1 hour | 4.027 | +0.082 | +2.08% | |
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Heating Oil • 1 hour | 2.516 | +0.045 | +1.81% |
Markets
To Sell or Not to Sell
We are in a long-term "secular bear" market in the U.S. (and most international) stock market indexes that began in 2000. I will not repeat the financial literature that gushes…
The Dollar Outlook for Q1 2005
The U.S. dollar has finally bottomed and is turning up for its first sustained oversold rally after suffering a major beat-down in 2004. The early part of 2005 is shaping…
What Will Kill the Current Commodity Boom?
When governments go into debt and default, the losers are foreign lenders. Business can continue as usual. The people represent the tax base for the government; their essence of being,…
Technical Market Report
As of last Wednesday the Russell 2000 (R2K) was down for 6 consecutive days. By itself this is a relatively rare statistic. In early January it happened once before in…
Financial Markets Forecast and Analysis
This week the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 179.05 points, realizing the risks noted from early December's Short-term TII readings now that the post election and Santa rallies are…
Moscow On the Hudson
From the outset of this essay, I would first like to point out the notable selfless effort and time that some good people before me have invested in this most…
Forecast 2005: The See-Saw Economy
Once again it's time for me to demonstrate the foolhardy part of my nature by putting to electronic pen my forecast for 2005. I spend more research time on this…
Forecast for 2005
As discussed in my previous broad market commentary in December, the broad market has topped in the short-term and is being pressured under the force of the dominant short-term cycle…
The Coming Deflation Scare
During each of the past four years there has been a deflation scare, although last year's scare was certainly minor in comparison with the ones that occurred during 2001, 2002…
Issues 2005
We certainly begin 2005 with many of the necessary conditions for a surprising spike in yields that could easily lead to marketplace dislocation. Perceptions are bullish and complacent, while last…
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