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Markets

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Thoughts on the US dollar, Asset Markets and Current Account

Dec 16, 2004 at 00:00

There were some interesting statistics in the latest quarterly "Flow of Funds" report issued by the Fed last week. The most interesting, as far as we were concerned, were the…

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What Post is Gold Hitched To?

Dec 16, 2004 at 00:00

Jim Dines once said gold was the hitch of everything in the Universe (I hope I got that right). This editorial portion is simply going to examine charts and present…

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Another Twenty-Five Basis Points

Dec 16, 2004 at 00:00

Surprising nobody, the Federal Reserve increased the fed funds target rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%. This was the fifth consecutive rate hike. While the Fed still said that…

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Update of Extension of Post Coppock Curve Buy Signal Patterns

Dec 15, 2004 at 00:00

First comes a scatter chart in which the CI-NCI Ratio smoothed by six 10-day moving averages is plotted against the NYSE Trin smoothed by six 10-day moving averages. The time…

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Even Hijackers Shun Dollars

Dec 15, 2004 at 00:00

While we all read the headlines about how the Dollar has lost 50% of its value over the last two years, many financial reporters still don't seem to get it.…

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Stock Market: CNBC Report

Dec 14, 2004 at 00:00

This still remains a very bullish technical picture. There is a lot of money on the sidelines looking for a decline to buy. That is why any move down will…

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Fundamentals and Stones ...

Dec 14, 2004 at 00:00

We are living in "fundamental" times, Ladies and Gentlemen. Momentous events and powerful secular trends rule our economy, currency, and political landscape. The world is in the middle of an…

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Stock Market, Sentiment, and Trend

Dec 14, 2004 at 00:00

The attached chart on the Value Line Arithmetic Index summarizes the intermediate picture. We are overbought and have apparently rolled over to the downside. Also of note is that an…

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Official Insanity

Dec 13, 2004 at 00:00

No matter what we do, we are doomed. No matter what we don't do, we are doomed. These seem to be the two current camps of thought at the present…

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The Technical Case for a Rebound in Oil....

Dec 13, 2004 at 00:00

Making a case for crude oil is hardly groundbreaking at this time. But from our perspective, this is now the moment of reckoning. Recall that we accurately called the past…