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Markets

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Please Give Me a Housing Bubble

Jun 19, 2004 at 00:00

I think the rapid growth in the money supply is yet more evidence of hedge funds and corporations unwinding their positions and going to cash. To the extent that the…

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Monetary Instability and Lessons Not Learned

Jun 18, 2004 at 00:00

"Price Stability" is a Red Herring. Instead, the issue today should be Monetary Stability, an admittedly, but necessarily, imprecise measure of the general financial AND economic environment - and the…

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It's the Bubbles Stupid

Jun 19, 2004 at 00:00

Thanks to all these bubbles, the American consumer borrowed a mind-boggling $879.9 billion last year, having borrowed $775.7 billion the year before. However, most of the borrowed money went into…

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Sell on the Rumors and Buy on the Fed News

Jun 19, 2004 at 00:00

What does this have to do with the remainder of June? It means that green Wave C down just started at today's highs. Wave C down is known for its…

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Comments on the Macroeconomic Outlook

Jun 18, 2004 at 00:00

The possibilities of something going wrong cannot be estimated on any reasonable criteria but, if they do go wrong, then oil could spike much higher, say $60 or more. Indeed,…

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The Fed's Monetary Policy Dilemma

Jun 19, 2004 at 00:00

Therefore, Mr. Greenspan has come to a dead end street with his monetary policy. Despite ultra easy monetary policies the bond market has tumbled since March of this year with…

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The Dollar and Rising Rates

Jun 18, 2004 at 00:00

And central banks are notorious for acting like a herd of sheep. When one acts, the rest tend to move in sympathy as well. Peer pressure in central banks appears…

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A Quicksand of Debt

Jun 18, 2004 at 00:00

A world economy that labors under such chronic imbalances with goods and services flowing to the biggest and richest economy and its fiat money drifting to poorer countries is highly…

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Questions for the Bears

Jun 18, 2004 at 00:00

Now this convalescing bull will have his good years and his not-so-good years. In a nutshell, I believe the odd numbered years will be mostly bullish while the even numbered…

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Gold - The Weekly Global Perspective

Jun 17, 2004 at 00:00

The market looked as though it was going to tumble as the prospect for aggressive interest rate hikes grew. Then the publication of low core inflation rates calmed the market,…