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Markets

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The Economic Silly Season

Jun 13, 2003 at 00:00

Dent points out that GM dropped more than 75% from late 1919 to early 1922. GM then went on to rise more than 22 times at its height in 1929.…

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Thoughts from the Frontline

Jun 07, 2003 at 00:00

Looking at the government's finances in a serious way is like expecting a Ponzi scheme operator's numbers to add up. They don't. And they never will; that's the game. Making…

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The Muddle Through Economy

May 31, 2003 at 00:00

To get an idea of what we are facing, we will look at some historical numbers to give us a proper perspective. Then, let's look at the challenges to economic…

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The Trend is Your Friend, (Until It Isn't)

May 24, 2003 at 00:00

All investments have risk, even (or especially) government bonds. It is not a matter of risk or no risk. Why should 95% of Americans, simply because they have less than…

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Presupposing Deflation

May 17, 2003 at 00:00

That is why it is especially important to read those logical representatives of thinking with whom you disagree, no matter how uncomfortable it makes you. If you disagree, you must…

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King Dollar and the Guillotine

May 10, 2003 at 00:00

The world is in the midst of a major transformation of the global economy. This realignment will mean that a number of trends that have been in place for many…

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Why the Stock Market Is Rising

May 03, 2003 at 00:00

Most economists think the U.S. would need to see a growth rate of 3% to 4% for a sustainable recovery and an increase in hiring. Unfortunately, the economy only grew…

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Investing: Faith Versus History

Apr 25, 2003 at 00:00

The received wisdom is that a bear market is when stocks go down by 20% or more. It makes for a nice neat media sound bite. Trying to time bear…

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Understanding Stock Market Behavior

Apr 18, 2003 at 00:00

We can find more clues in a ground-breaking book by Michael Alexander called Stock Cycles. I am going to review his book at length because it will help us understand…

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After Iraq: the Real World of Earnings

Apr 12, 2003 at 00:00

Investors think that earnings of existing companies can grow faster than the economy. There are two reasons they are wrong. The first is that much of the growth in the…