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Markets

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100 Basis Points Left

Jun 25, 2003 at 00:00

The Federal Reserve lowered the target rate for federal funds by 25 basis points to 1.0%. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve said, "the probability, though minor, of an unwelcome substantial fall…

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Pre-announcements Heating Up

Jun 18, 2003 at 00:00

The New York Times announced on Wednesday that profits will be lower than expected. The publisher of the New York Times and The Boston Globe said revenue related to travel…

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Consumers Continue To Pull The Economy

Jun 11, 2003 at 00:00

Retailers reported May sales last week that were generally within analysts expectations. As a group, same store sales increased 1.8% year-over-year. Discount stores continue to be the leading sector in…

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Stop Making Sense

Jun 04, 2003 at 00:00

May auto sales came in at an annual rate of 16.1 million units, which was a little better than expected and just a bit below the 16.4 million vehicle rate…

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Buy a Home and a Homebuilder

May 29, 2003 at 00:00

The S&P Homebuilding index is up almost 45% year-to-date and several homebuilders are trading at all-time highs. It is far and away the best performing non-technology related group so far…

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Kohl's Turns Cold

May 22, 2003 at 00:00

Last week, retailers started reporting first quarter earnings and several had disappointing results. Not only have sales been below plan, but a large number ended the quarter with bloated inventory…

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Are Retail Sales Sailing Away?

May 15, 2003 at 00:00

On a year-over-year basis, ex-auto retail sales increased 2.8%, which is the lowest year-over-year increase since February 2002. But here again it is compared to a very strong prior period.…

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Squeeeeez

May 08, 2003 at 00:00

The job creation by the government sector stalled late last year. Since October 2002, only 31,000 government jobs have been created. During the prior eighteen months, government payrolls increased by…

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Confidence Abounds

May 01, 2003 at 00:00

After the war in Iraq drew to a close, there was little doubt that confidence would rebound. On Monday, the UBS Index of Investor Confidence soared 61 points to 66.…

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More Earnings

Apr 24, 2003 at 00:00

The homebuilders have been reporting stellar results, and have to be best performing area of the economy. The companies do not see the strength abating soon. At D.R. Horton sales…