"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

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Bear Market Rally is Over

Jan 24, 2001 at 00:00

The next 2,000 points is now down, That would be the Dow Jones Industrial Average that we are talking about, and we will certainly show you why we see that…

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Dollar/Yen = Dollar/Gold

Jan 17, 2001 at 00:00

It is funny about markets and human nature. It never fails; that what goes up must come down (though not necessarily vice versa). Yet, if this market fact is readily…

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Operation SafeHaven

Jan 01, 2001 at 00:00

"Gold 2000 in the year 2000?" What a beauty. Remember that one? I was (shamefully) thinking about burying that call, which was made in one of my more enthusiastic modes…

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The Stress Test

Jan 10, 2001 at 00:00

The game is afoot! Of course, it is not really a game; it is your life, and your life savings that are about to become annihilated through a desperate push…

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Bad Times, Good Money

Sep 19, 2002 at 00:00

"For the first time since WWII, the world is in the grips of a synchronized global economic downturn," writes Dr. Kurt Richebacher. "We are looking for financial turmoil in the…

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A Forecasting Model That Integrates Multiple Business and Stock-Market Cycles

Aug 12, 2002 at 00:00

Since there is an obvious interrelationship between short-term business cycles and short-term stock-market cycles, it is useful to discover their common elements in order to develop a theory that explains…

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The Perils Of Success

Jan 16, 2003 at 00:00

Last month, Alan Greenspan spoke to the N.Y. Economic Club and sounded, for a while, like his old self. "Although the gold standard could hardly be portrayed as having produced…

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Generations and Business Cycles - Part I

Nov 06, 2002 at 00:00

The Kondratiev cycle is a 50-60 year cycle in prices, interest rates and other economic variables. It was noted as early as 1847 in an article in the British Railway…

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How Low Can We Go? What Several Valuation Methods Have To Say

Oct 20, 2002 at 00:00

This post examines three S&P500 valuation methods for what they have to say about the progress of the current secular bear market. The first method that used by Robert Shiller…

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Progress Update on the Current Secular Bear Market

Jul 23, 2002 at 00:00

A caveat to this analysis should be noted. Whereas the drop in P/R of 40% is consistent with the three previous non-Depression secular bear markets (average 38% drop) the absolute…