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Markets

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VIX: From Insurance to Assurance

Sep 11, 2015 at 18:15

Next week's Fed decision will magnify volatility regardless of the outcome. A Fed hike would intensify fears of global deflationary spiral from a strong dollar and Chinese hard landing. Doing…

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Lumber Looking Lousy

Sep 11, 2015 at 18:13

Lumber is looking pretty lousy at the moment hitting new yearly lows recently. Price has been trading as laid it in previous analysis so let's update the situation using the…

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The US Has Already Tightened -- Which Explains A Lot

Sep 11, 2015 at 13:04

Next week we'll find out if the longest-ever will-they-or-won't-they drama involving a virtually insignificant quarter-point interest rate change will amount to anything. But either way, US monetary policy is already…

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Gold Mining Fundamentals

Sep 11, 2015 at 11:50

In the previous post Steve Saville talks about the "true" fundamentals of gold, i.e. the ones that actually matter as opposed to the ones that make a good story. In…

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Forever QE Continues Unabated

Sep 11, 2015 at 11:36

Corporations are using share buyback programs to manipulate earnings, by reducing the float of outstanding shares. This ploy was not as ubiquitous before, but today it is being used rather…

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Pay Your Fair Share (to the Teachers' Union)

Sep 11, 2015 at 11:32

Taxpayers take note.you could get a much bigger tax bill than you expect. The California State Teachers' Retirement System (CalSTRS) recently announced that it may move 12% of its assets,…

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Silver's Vexing Slumber

Sep 11, 2015 at 10:21

Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows. After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal.…

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10 Reasons Why Junior Miners Could Come Back Into Favor in 2016

Sep 11, 2015 at 07:46

Quantitative easing should continue across the Globe to prevent deflation. It may not be successful. The Banks can print but they can't make more commodities out of thin air. The…

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Why Central Banks Are Pressing Investors To Hold Gold

Sep 11, 2015 at 07:03

Another topic that we have been discussing for years is the debt level. Debt and interest are not bad by themselves. The principal problem is when we have a currency…

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CME Fedwatch and Bloomberg Rate Hike Odds Still Wrong; Deflationary Bust Coming

Sep 11, 2015 at 06:47

As of September 10, the CME has the of a September hike by the Fed at 24%. Bloomberg says the probability of a move is 28% ...