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Markets

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Why We Can't Handle An Equities Bear Market, Part 1: State Budgets Will Implode

Aug 27, 2015 at 07:16

Back when society's balance sheet was reasonably solid, the occasional bear market was no big deal. A 20% drop in the average S&P 500 stock would scare investors and lead…

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China Shanghai Composite Update...

Aug 26, 2015 at 10:15

The Chinese market is of interest to us not because we necessarily want to trade it, but because of its effect on other world markets. Its heavy drop on Monday…

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The NYA Index has Dropped to a Level that is Very Oversold

Aug 26, 2015 at 09:58

You probably recall that we we discussed the NYA's triangular pattern last week ... and then made comments about the market being in a very high risk condition and that…

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GBP/USD - Riding the Uptrend Channel

Aug 26, 2015 at 09:57

GBP/USD has shifted into a consolidation pattern after slight bullish recovery. However, drift lower indicates persistent selling pressure. Stronger support is given at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.5409.

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Update to the Stock Market and Gold Mining Shares

Aug 25, 2015 at 15:46

Most people did not expect what happened on Monday morning. The futures traders took the ES down to 1830 with the cash market stabilizing at SPX 1867 in just a…

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Stocks Tank In Last 15 Minutes; Correction Not Done?

Aug 25, 2015 at 15:43

That was sudden. After soaring at the open and holding big gains all day, US equities fell off the table in the last 15 minutes of trading, ending over 500…

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Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Low

Aug 25, 2015 at 10:52

My July 28 commentary was the last time I gave an update on my Hybrid Lindsay model (a hybrid approach to the work of the late technician, George Lindsay). In…

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Dow Theory and Gold's Strong Season

Aug 25, 2015 at 10:32

Have US stocks entered a bear market?

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Important Update on ... 'Watch the Banking Index ($BKX)'

Aug 25, 2015 at 07:24

Today's chart is an update of the Banking Index. The Banking Index closed at 69.02. ts 4 CRSI was approaching an oversold level ... just as the Banking Index reached…

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Who the Heck Consumes His Capital?!

Aug 25, 2015 at 06:07

I have been writing about consumption of capital, using the example of a farmer who sells off his farm to buy groceries. It's a striking story, because people don't normally…