Shanghai and DAX-30 Dance around 200-DMA

By: Ashraf Laidi | Thu, Aug 20, 2015
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Originally published October 19, 2015.

Overnight, China central planners saved the 200-DMA in the Shanghai Composite, with an intraday 6.7% recovery following an earlier 5% decline. This is especially crucial as the index held above its 200-DMA since Jul 23, 2014. The latest selling pressure may have resulted by three consecutive daily gains in the Chinese yuan, following media assault from the rest of the world on the day of the CNY devaluation. Coincidently, the Shanghai Composite's late Wednesday session recovery emerged on the day the CNY depreciated for the first time four days.

DAX-30 and Shanghai Composite Index Charts


DAX Heading to 10,000

You don't hear commodities and the Dax mentioned often in the same sentence. But 3 of the 4 worst performing shares in Germany's Dax index over the last 4 weeks are associated with gas and oil (RWE -51%, E.ON -24% and BASF -12% from Jul 20 to today). As the index falls below its 200-DMA for the first time since January, we note that each of the two occasions of the sub-200-DMA drop in December and January lasted no more than two days. We would have to go to the infamous October 2014 for the last time the index fell 12% below its 200-DMA.

Both of the Shanghai Composite and Dax, the 50-100 DMA Death Cross has already occurred. It is a matter of time before the former extends selloff to 3,100 and the latter retests 10,000.

 


 

Ashraf Laidi

Author: Ashraf Laidi

Ashraf Laidi
AshrafLaidi.com

Ashraf Laidi

AshrafLaidi.com is the research arm of Intermarket Strategy Ltd.

Ashraf Laidi is the author of "Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis: How to Profit from the Shifting Currents in Global Markets" Wiley Trading.

This publication is intended to be used for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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