The Flash Crash Cycle and The Infamous 7-Year Cycle

By: Ian Thijm | Sat, Jan 23, 2016
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Review: In my last blogpost, I was looking for a 1/6-8 Low.

Actual: 1/6-8 was one of those rare 10% misses as we declined beyond that in a mini crash wave.

Review: Back on 12/17/14, more than a year ago, I posted about the 7 year cycle and the 360 TD Cycle, where I predicted an important CIT (Change in Trend) on 9/28/15 Blood Moon total Lunar Eclipseand again January 2016.

This 1800 TD/7 year cycle+/- has pinpointed major Highs and Lows in the past:

1. 10/11/07H - 12/05/14H =1800 TD (Trading Days)

2. 08/13/04L - 10/04/11L = 1798 TD

3. 03/12/03L - 04/26/10H = 1793 TD

4. 03/12/03L - 05/06/10L = 1801 TD (Flash Crash)

5. 09/21/01L - 11/21/08L = 1805 TD

6. 09/01/00H - 10/11/07H = 1785 TD

7. 08/11/08H - 09/28/15H = 1792 TD

8. 11/21/08L - 01/20/16L = 1800 TD

9. 11/21/08L - 01/27/16L = 1805 TD

Review from 12/17/14:

"The future 9/28/15 Blood Moon total Lunar Eclipse is another biblical 7 years/1800 TD (Trading Days) from the 8/11/08 swing High, before the panic into 11/21/08 crash Low, which was 1805 TD from the 9/21/01 Crash Low and 1800 TD in the future is January 2016."

Actual: We saw a 9/29/15 Spike Low and we saw a sharp 269.27 SP mini Crash into January 20 2016 Low, exactly 1800 TD from the 11/21/08 crash Low.

Many years ago, back on May 16 2010, I first discovered and posted on my blog about a 360 TD (Trading Day)/525CD Flash Crash Cycle. That Flash Crash Cycle was next due in January 2016, but as the cycle expands and contracts we needed to find the exact date for the Low. 5 X 360 TD cycle is the 1800 TD cycle, which is the well known 7 year Biblical cycle, which suggested a sharp decline in January 2016, being 7 years/1800 TD, from the 11/21/08 Crash Lows, which was 7 years/1805 TD from the 9/21/01 Crash Lows. The 1800 TD Cycle varies between 1790 and 1805 TD.

The 75 wk/525CD flash crash/360 TD Cycle had 2 misses between 8/13/04L and 11/21/08L and again between 10/4/11L and January 2016 Lows.
04/14/00L -358/525- 9/21/01L - 369/537- 3/12/03L -359/520 - 8/13/04L- 1078=

3X 360-2 or 3 X 520 CD+1 - 11/21/08L-356/521-4/26/10H-364/526-10/4/11L-+

3X 360-1, 3 X 523 CD = 1/20/16L?

3X360+2, 3 X 525 CD = 1/26/16L?

S&P500 Daily Chart 1
Larger Image

Since 04/14/00L the exact 360 Trading Day cycle has deviated +/- 2 to max 7 TD:

04/14/00.+ 0 TD= 04/14/00 Major Low

09/25/01 - 2 TD = 09/21/01 Major Low

03/03/03 + 7 TD = 03/12/13 Major Low

08/05/04 + 6 TD = 08/13/04 Major Low

11/17/08 + 4 TD = 11/21/08 Major Low

04/26/10 + 0 TD = 04/26/10 Major High

09/27/11 + 4 TD = 10/04/11 Major Low

01/13/14 + 4 TD = 01/20/16 Major Low?

01/13/14 + 7 TD = 01/25/16 Major Low?

Conclusion: The 360 TD Flash Crash Cycle predicted many crashes and major Lows in the past, including the 4/14/00 crash Low, 9/21/01 crash Low, 3/12/13 Low, 8/13/04 Low, 11/21/08 crash Low, 4/26/10 major High and 10/04/11 crash Low. If History is any guidance, we should see a major crash Low between 1/20 and 1/26. There are some indications that 1/20/16 was that major Flash Crash Cycle Low, but we need to close solidly above the steep down channel to confirm that.

S&P500 Daily Chart 2
Larger Image

What's next: The next major CIT date in the 7 year/1800 TD cycle is late April to early May 2016, being 1800 TD from the 3/6/09 major Low.

 


 

Ian Thijm

Author: Ian Thijm

Ian Thijm BSc, MBA
Raj Times and Cycles

My first experience with the Stock-markets was during my MBA in August 1987, right before the 87 crash. Needless to say I fell in love with the markets and studied everything I could on Timing and Cycles in the Markets, including Gann, Bayer, Baumring, Astrology, Geometry, etc. Although I loved the markets, the markets didn't love me the 1st 7 years. Then I found a unique "Ezekiel Wheel" (Symmetry Point Cycle) based on the works of James Brock and in October 1994, I turned $5000 into over $112,000 in one month. I thought I had found the Golden Key to unlock all the market profits, but the markets again humbled me. I spent the next 7 years studying and researching various unique Time and Cycle methods. Then in June 2000, I met my Partner and I became a full time Investment Manager. Life, like Markets goes through Cycles and the next 7 years, I had the most valuable, enriching lessons in my life with Markets, People and managing Money. It was very enlightening. This brings us to the present day, where I feel the need to share and teach what I have learned and that is what this blog and website is all about. I hope it is worthwhile to you.

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