• 968 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 968 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 970 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,370 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,374 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,376 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,379 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,380 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,381 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,382 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,383 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,387 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,387 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,388 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,390 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,390 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,394 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,394 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,395 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,397 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold Doesn't Care About The Stock Market

Once upon a time, gold and stocks were thought to be inversely correlated. That is, when the market went up, gold would go down, and when the market was down, gold would go up as investors abandoned risky assets for the safety of sound money. Put another way, stocks were for "normal" times and gold was something you owned as protection against abnormal events like long bear markets or sudden crashes. See the 2008/2009 part of the first chart below (blue line is the Dow, green line is gold) for an example of inverse correlation in action.

But post-crash, with the government borrowing trillions and running the printing press flat-out, gold and stocks became positively correlated, as newly-created credit pushed up the price of pretty much everything.

Dow vs Gold - inverse correlation

And now the relationship seems to be breaking down altogether. In the past week, stocks went up and stocks went down -- and gold just went up. As this is written on July 11, the Dow is down about 1.3% for the day, while gold is up a few bucks to near its all-time high.

Dow vs Gold Chart 2

What, if anything, does this mean? There's no way to know for sure, but one possibility is the expected impact of the Pan Asia Gold Exchange, which will bring gold to a new, potentially huge, market. See this King World News interview for a more complete explanation.

Or it could mean that investors have finally figured out that all possible economic outcomes are good for gold. If Washington's prodigious borrowing sends the economy into inflationary overdrive, capital will pour into precious metals. If QE2 was a bust and the economy starts to sink, that guarantees an even bigger stimulus plan in the near future. Either way, gold is the one clear winner.

Or maybe the marketplace is finally catching up with years of price suppression and bringing gold into line with the amount of paper currency that exists in the world. Estimates of the gold price that's necessary to bring about this balance vary, but they're all far higher than the current price.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment