• 1 hour The EU Begins Backtracking On China Trade
  • 24 hours Americans Are Sick Of Unfair Taxation
  • 3 days No Jab, No Job: The New Hardline Policy of U.S. Employers
  • 5 days What’s Included In Biden’s $6 Trillion Economic Plan?
  • 6 days The “Great Car Comeback” Brightens Oil Demand Outlook
  • 7 days The 3 Most Profitable Covid-19 Vaccine Stocks
  • 9 days Beijing Launches Digital Currency To Break AliPay-WeChat Duopoly
  • 10 days The New Economic World Order After Covid-19
  • 14 days 3 Signals To Watch For A Stock Market Correction
  • 16 days Netflix Earnings Red Alert: Subscriptions Could Underwhelm
  • 17 days Wall Street Banks Are Back
  • 17 days Elon Musk’s SpaceX Scores Big Win Over Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin
  • 18 days Which Country Is The World’s Largest Investor In Batteries?
  • 20 days Are Bitcoin’s Environmental Risks Overblown?
  • 20 days Why The Gold Rush Ran Out Of Steam
  • 23 days Coinbase IPO Explodes, But Fails To Keep Its Momentum
  • 23 days China Slaps Alibaba With Record $2.75B Antitrust Fine
  • 24 days The Pandemic Has Culled The Middle Class
  • 25 days Legacy Automakers See Massive Spike In Sales
  • 26 days Tesla's Biggest Competitor Is Going Cobalt-Free
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Victoria Marklew

Victoria Marklew

Victoria Marklew is Vice President and International Economist at The Northern Trust Company, Chicago. She joined the Bank in 1991, and works in the Economic…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Preliminary UK Q2 GDP Confirms Slowing Economy

Today's preliminary Q2 GDP report from the UK showed real growth slowing to 0.2% on the quarter and 1.6% on the year, the weakest in three years and down from 0.3% and 2.3%, respectively, in Q1. A marked fall in construction output, the result of weakness in private house building, was largely to blame - down 0.7% on the quarter. However, the slowdown in the dominant service sector was also notable, with growth of just 0.4% on the quarter and 2.1% on the year, the weakest annual growth in 16 years.

Chart 1

This report will add to expectations that the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee will leave interest rates on hold for the next few months.

Easing Credit Growth in Euro-zone

Today's ECB data on credit and money supply showed that the pace of loan growth to the private sector is easing, coming in at 9.8% on the year in June, versus 10.5% in May.

Chart 2

In addition, the headline rate of growth in M3 money supply fell to an annual 9.5% in June from 10.0% the month before.

Chart 3

While the pace of credit and monetary expansion is still high for a slowing economy, the fact that they are easing all-but guarantees that the European Central Bank (ECB) won't be making any more rate hikes in the second half of this year.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment