"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

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Victoria Marklew

Victoria Marklew

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Victoria Marklew is Vice President and International Economist at The Northern Trust Company, Chicago. She joined the Bank in 1991, and works in the Economic Research Department, where she assesses country lending and investment risk, focusing in particular on Asia. Ms. Marklew has a B.A. degree from the University of London, an M.Sc. from the London School of Economics, and a Ph.D. in Political Economy from the University of Pennsylvania. She is the author of Cash, Crisis, and Corporate Governance: The Role of National Financial Systems in Industrial Restructuring (University of Michigan Press, 1995).

  • What Next For The Euro-Zone?

    Published 03 July 2012 | viewed 0 times

    "Greece is collapsing, the Iranians are getting aggressive, and Rome is in disarray. Welcome back to 430 BC..." - Attributed to John Cleese, British writer…

  • Greek Bailout Might Succeed - If All Goes According to Plan

    Published 25 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    With the second bailout agreement for Greece announced on Friday (July 22), the EU has stumbled toward a new level of institutional development. However, Greece…

  • Can the EU Fix Greece?

    Published 30 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The Greek parliament has passed the latest austerity package asked for by the IMF/ EU, and has approved the implementation legislation spelling out the various…

  • Near-term Outlook For A Troubled World

    Published 08 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

    An article by Victoria Marklew, Richard Thies and James A. Pressler Although 2011 is only three months old, the world has changed dramatically. Along with…

  • Germany: Will State-level Politics be Felt Throughout the Euro-zone?

    Published 28 March 2011 | viewed 0 times

    An upset in the regional election in one of Germany's 16 states could be expected to generate reams of newsprint in the local press, but…

  • A Typical European Response To An Atypical European Problem

    Published 12 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

    The past two months have seen a fairly typical - if dramatic - example of the European Union response to a policy dilemma. First comes…

  • What if One of the Euro-zone Countries Defaults?

    Published 03 February 2009 | viewed 3,355 times

    This question has been triggered by the fact that the price of insurance against debt default by Euro-zone members Ireland, Greece, Italy, Spain, and even…

  • Euro-zone: Is That Light at the End of the Tunnel?

    Published 27 January 2009 | viewed 2,166 times

    Today's Ifo and last week's Belgian leading indicator offer the tantalizing hope that the economic downturn across the Euro-zone is starting to bottom out -…

  • Euro-zone: Interest Rates, Inflation, the Economy

    Published 15 January 2009 | viewed 1,741 times

    As widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) lopped another 50 bps off its refi rate this morning, taking it to 2.0%. Rates have now…

  • UK: Record Low Repo Rate, But Will It Help?

    Published 08 January 2009 | viewed 1,429 times

    As widely expected, the Bank of England (BoE) cut its repo rate another 50bps today, taking it to a record low 1.50%. In its rather…

  • Increasingly-Grim Outlook for UK Implies Lower Rates and Weaker Sterling

    Published 17 December 2008 | viewed 1,681 times

    The economic news out of the UK is ever more grim. Today was the turn of employment and retail sales. Claimant count unemployment surged by…

  • Europe: Historic Rate Cuts Suggest a Dismal Outlook For 2009

    Published 04 December 2008 | viewed 2,160 times

    The Bank of England (BoE), the European Central Bank (ECB), and Sweden's Riksbank all slashed their policy interest rates this morning, and all cited the…

  • Deepening Recession in Germany and Across the Euro-zone

    Published 25 November 2008 | viewed 2,652 times

    The European Central Bank (ECB) will be cutting its refi rate again next week (December 4), the only question being whether the policymakers will opt…

  • Bank of England Forecasts Worsening Recession

    Published 12 November 2008 | viewed 2,789 times

    The Bank of England's Quarterly Inflation Report was released this morning and its outlook for the UK economy was every bit as dismal as feared.…

  • Bank of England Takes Bold Step to Ward Off Severe Recession

    Published 07 November 2008 | viewed 1,576 times

    The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) acted decisively this morning, cutting the Bank Rate 150bps to 3.00% - its lowest level in over…

  • Deteriorating Outlook in Germany and the Euro-zone

    Published 27 October 2008 | viewed 2,641 times

    Last week's PMI surveys for the Euro-zone and for its various countries warned that the outlook for Q4 is deteriorating sharply. To date, the strongest…

  • ECB Shifts To Easing Bias

    Published 02 October 2008 | viewed 1,725 times

    For the first time in over five years the European Central Bank (ECB) today shifted its bias toward easing. In his subsequent comments, President Trichet…

  • Deteriorating Outlook for the Euro-zone

    Published 24 September 2008 | viewed 2,849 times

    A month ago, two of our favorite leading indicators for the Euro-zone economy were pointing to a slowdown but not an outright stop, and we…

  • UK: Increasingly Gloomy Outlook Increases Odds Of A Q4 Rate Cut

    Published 17 September 2008 | viewed 1,539 times

    The past two days have presented us with a clear picture both of the stresses facing the British economy and the thinking of the Bank…

  • Sweden's Riksbank Hikes One More Time

    Published 04 September 2008 | viewed 1,352 times

    With the economy slowing rapidly but headline inflation well above the upper limit of the central bank's target in recent months, it was a close…