4/27/2009 9:47:01 PM
We got through day one of swine-flu, but is the market getting tired?
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Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer remains in Buy Mode.
The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction, slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example, if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction. Trend and support can override the barometer signals.
Day Trading Edge - with Paul Soo
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Stock Barometer Cycle Time
And Tuesday is day 34 in our Up Cycle (think I missed a day counting before).
The Stock Barometer signals follow 5, 8, 13, 21 and sometimes 34 day Fibonacci cycles that balance with 'normal' market cycles. Knowing where you are in the current market cycle is important in deciding how long you expect to maintain a position.
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Potential Cycle Reversal Dates
2009 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/20, 2/11, 3/7, 3/15, 4/8, 4/16, 4/27, 5/7. We publish these dates up to 2 months in advance.
With 4/27 upon us and the next date 5/7, I'd sell on any significant weakness - maybe even intra day.
My Additional timing work is based on numerous cycles and has resulted in the above potential reversal dates. These are not to be confused with the barometer signals or cycle times. However, due to their past accuracy I post the dates here.
2008 Potential Reversal Dates: 12/31, 1/11, 2/1, 2/13, 3/6, 4/5, 4/22, 5/23, 6/6, 6/27, 7/13, 9/2, 10/3, 10/22, 11/10, 12/11. 2007 Potential Reversal Dates: 1/10, 1/14, 1/27, 1/31, 2/3, 2/17, 3/10, 3/24, 4/21, 5/6, 6/15, 8/29, 10/19, 11/29, 12/13, 12/23, 12/31, 1/11/08. 2006 potential reversal dates: 1/16, 1/30, 2/25, 3/19, 4/8, 5/8, 5/19, 6/6(20), 7/24, 8/20, 8/29, 9/15, 10/11, 11/28. 2005 Potential reversal dates: 12/27, 1/25, 2/16, 3/4, 3/14, 3/29, 4/5, 4/19, 5/2, 6/3, 6/10, 7/13, 7/28, 8/12, 8/30-31, 9/22, 10/4, 11/15, 11/20, 12/16.
Patrice V. Johnson's - J.E.D.I. Trader
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Spread Indicators
Use the following spread/momentum indicators to assist in your trading of the QQQQ, GLD, USD, USO and TLT. They are tuned to deliver signals in line with the Stock Barometer and we use them only in determining our overall outlook for the market and for pinpointing market reversals. The level, direction, and position to the zero line are keys in these indicators. For example, direction determines mode and a buy signal 'above zero' is more bullish than a buy signal 'below zero'.
QQQQ Spread Indicator (NASDAQ:QQQQ)
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The QQQQ Spread Indicator will yield its own buy and sell signals that may be different from the Stock Barometer. It's meant to give us an idea of the next turn in the market.
Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert
Provides buying and selling advice with 1/3 Index positioning for trends
use 2.5x Leverage and our advice as a hedge for your current portfolio.
Gold Spread Indicator (AMEX:GLD)
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Want to trade Gold? Use our signals with the Gold ETF AMEX:GLD. Gold gives us a general gage to the overall health of the US Economy and the markets.
Bill West's Fat Pitch ETF Advisory
ETF Advisor trades a diversified portfolio of the hottest Exchange Traded Funds.
US Dollar Index Spread Indicator (INDEX:DXY)
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Want to trade the US Dollar? Use our signals with the Power Shares AMEX:UUP: US Dollar Index Bullish Fund and AMEX:UDN: US Dollar Index Bearish Fund.
The McMillan Portfolio ($18.95/Month)
Get specific advice to manage a portfolio of Stocks and Options
Bonds Spread Indicator (AMEX:TLT)
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Want to trade Bonds? Use our signals with Lehman's 20 year ETF AMEX:TLT. The direction of bonds has an impact on the stock market. Normally, as bonds go down, stocks will go up and as bonds go up, stocks will go down.
Stock Options Speculator
SOS recommends very aggressive stock options plays that target >100% gains.
OIL Spread Indicator (AMEX:USO)
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Want to trade OIL? Use our signals with AMEX:USO, the OIL ETF. We look at the price of oil as its level and direction has an impact on the stock market.
Angelo Campione's Advantage Credit Spreads ($49.95/month)
Using Options to Target Consistent & Conservative Profits - up over 100% in 2007!
Supporting Secondary Indicator
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We daily monitor hundreds of popular and proprietary technical indicators that break down market internals, sentiment and money flow to give us unique insight into the market. We feature at least one here each day in support of our current outlook.
The McMillan Letter ($8.95/Month)
Join Analyst Mark McMillan as he identifies current opportunities
Summary of Daily Outlook
Since issuing a buy signal on March 10th, we've been long for 33 trading days - and sitting on some significant profits, I'm getting more inclined to consider taking those profits soon.
We remain in Buy Mode, looking for the market to either turn lower rather soon or continue higher into a peak on 5/7.
We had a good night in the chat room discussing our outlook for the market in more detail and some short term opportunities. If you're interested, the link is included at the top of this page.
If you have any questions or comments, email me at Jay@stockbarometer.com.
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Regards,
