• 529 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 530 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 531 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 931 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 936 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 938 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 941 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 941 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 942 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 944 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 944 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 948 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 948 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 949 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 951 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 952 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 955 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 956 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 956 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 958 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Is Rising Crude Oil Going to Pressure the U.S. Dollar?

A surprise decline in crude oil inventories led to a reversal to the downside in the U.S. Dollar on Wednesday. Crude oil rallied sharply higher triggering rallies in the equity and currency markets on the notion that trader demand for higher risk assets would increase.

Higher equity and energy prices helped the EUR USD gain ground throughout the day in a combination of short-covering and fresh buying. Many Euro traders had been leaning to the short-side prior to the crude oil news due to a sell-off in the Chinese stock market overnight. This weakness helped create a risk adverse environment and traders were selling in anticipation of less demand for higher risk assets. The bullish news regarding crude oil inventories caught early sellers by surprise forcing them to cover their newly initiated short positions. The main trend is down on the daily chart. Without a follow-through rally overnight or tomorrow expect the trend to continue down.

Stronger equity and energy markets helped weaken the USD CAD. The U.S. Dollar was trading better against the Canadian early in the trading session, but the bullish crude oil news forced weaker USD CAD longs out of the market. The next two days will determine if the trend is turning back down or if today's action was an aberration.

Stronger demand for equities helped boost the higher yielding AUD USD and NZD USD. The rally in these two markets appears to be short-covering in reaction to a hard rally in the crude market due to 0bullish inventory news. Today's action may have been the test of last week's highs in these two markets.

The GBP USD erased much of this morning's early losses when equity and crude oil markets took off to the upside. Overnight the pressure was on the British Pound following the release of the minutes from the Bank of England policy meeting on August 6th. This news created a bearish stir because it showed that BoE Governor Mervyn King was looking for a greater increase in quantitative easing than was eventually agreed upon.

The giveback in the Forex markets late in the trading session may be an indication that today's action was just an aberration as nothing was done to actually change the trend. The action over the next two days will dictate whether the Dollar will continue to gain strength or start on another leg lower.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment