• 656 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 656 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 658 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,058 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,063 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,065 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,068 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,068 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,069 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,071 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,071 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,075 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,075 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,076 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,078 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,079 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,082 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,083 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,083 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,085 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold, Silver, Oil and SP500 ETF Trends and Reversal Levels

Trading commodities and indexes through the use of exchange traded funds sure keeps things simple for an average trader. These funds allow individual investors to buy and sell things like gold, silver, oil, the sp500 and other investments which where not available only few months ago like "wheat" for example.

One of the nice things with ETFs is that is allows everyone to follow the price of a commodity or index using any charting website and can even apply indicators to help spot key support and resistance levels using volume by price analysis. There is no need for a expensive data feeds, charting programs and you don't have to worry about contract expiration.

Below are a few charts of the trend and my short term forecast.


GLD - Gold Bullion ETF

As you can see gold broke out of its support zone this week and popped into the next resistance level. This is very typical price action in the stock market. It is important to look at the price charts like an apartment building. It's nothing but a bunch of floors and ceilings.

How it works; if a ball breaks though a floor it will naturally fall to the next floor and bounce. The same for if a ball breaks through a ceiling, it will hit the next ceiling then bounce back down. This is essentially how the market moves.

SPDR Gold Trust Shares


SLV - Silver ETF

Silver is forming a large pennant and nearing its apex. With the amount of volume traded within this large volume channel I would expect a sharp breakout once a direction is made.

SLV iShares Silver Trust


USO - Oil Traded Fund

Crude oil had a funky day. Early Wednesday morning in pre-market trading we saw virtually every investment drop at the same time which was strange. Anyways the US dollar dropped sharply and oil when down also. Normally as the dollar drops oil rockets higher but that was not the case today.

Currently oil is trading between two trendlines and is trying to hold up. If we get a breakdown then we could see a sharp drop in oil over the next 1-2 weeks.

US Oil Fund


SPY - SP500 ETF Trading Fund

The SP500 is trading within a high volume channel, similar to silver. Once a breakout in either direction is made I would expect a sizable move lasting a few weeks to occur.

SPY S&P 500 SPDRs


Mid-Week Commodity and Index ETF Report:

In short, the market looks bearish for the short term of 5-10 trading sessions. This is because everything looks to be trading near resistance levels. That naturally brings sellers out of the woodwork putting pressure on prices.

Silver and gold stocks tend to lead the metals sector on breakouts so it will be important to keep an eye on them as we near a possible breakout or breakdown in the metals. If you see SLV or GDX ETFs out performing the GLD gold fund by 2-3x then I would expect to see gold move higher later that session or the following day.

The US dollar trend usually helps to identify if oil will have downward pressure or not. Also energy stocks tend to lead the price of oil by a few hours and some times a day. I keep an eye on XLE energy etf for a feel of how the energy stocks are doing and also UUP US dollar fund.

As for equities tech, financials and the Russell 2K (small cap stock) tend to lead the way for the broad market. Watching XLK, XLF and IWM help to confirm breakouts.

 


If you would like to get my trading analysis and alerts please join my free newsletter at: www.GoldAndOilGuy.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment