• 526 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 526 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 528 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 928 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 932 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 934 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 937 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 938 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 939 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 940 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 941 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 945 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 945 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 946 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 948 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 948 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 952 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 952 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 952 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 955 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

How The Markets Are Reacting To The Bank Of Japan Selling Yen To Buy Dollars

Gold broke out of a classic cup and handle pattern yesterday right before the Bank of Japan announcement. The Yen has significantly strengthened since June as this is extremely difficult for the Japanese export companies. The economy in Japan is weakening and they are facing their own sovereign debt issues which have not yet surfaced. However, what is more important is how the markets are reacting. This reaction in the yen may be short lived. Although it might be a short term bandaid the intervention efforts may be too little for the global forces of supply and demand. There is little support for the dollar as evidenced by the U.S. Dollar Chart.

US Dollar Index

Today the selling in the yen did not transfer to purchasing U.S. Dollars. It seems as though yesterday and the past several weeks there has been a major rush into precious metals. The dollar's chart is giving warning signs of an imminent collapse. Certainly the dollar has not reacted positively to this announcement.

The dollar is slicing through its 200 day moving average and the 50 day clearly has acted as resistance. A major transfer of dollars into precious metals are occurring. A death cross is imminent on the dollar and this is occurring simultaneously to a new high breakouts on silver and gold.

Usually a weak dollar has been bullish for stock markets as investors were less risk averse. However, this is not the case this time. Even though the dollar has fallen since June the markets have failed to rally significantly. Instead precious metals and mining companies have broken out of key resistance.

SP 500 SPDRs

The S&P 500 has been in a sloppy and volatile base for four and half months. The poor price volume action tells me a breakout above $114 is highly unlikely. A third failure may be imminent as overbought conditions are combining with previous resistance.

This cup and handle pattern in gold is extremely bullish and could be the beginning of a next leg higher. It is a sign of a major consolidation and this recent breakout may bring in more investment interest by institutions who are concerned about currency and sovereign debt issues. A major transfer of capital is moving from currencies, bonds and equities into precious metals.

To see my recent prediction of this breakout move click here.

Gold's (GLD) pattern is very rare and this setup tends to indicate a major move into hard assets.

If we see a decoupling of the dollar versus gold continuing, expect to see more buyouts of resource companies from Asia. Right now we are seeing a massive transition of wealth from the dollar to silver and gold.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment