• 561 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 561 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 563 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 963 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 967 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 969 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 972 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 973 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 974 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 975 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 976 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 979 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 980 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 981 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 983 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 983 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 986 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 987 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 987 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 989 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Investment Contingency Plans 2010-2011

The immediate fork in the road for stocks involves whether we (a) remain in a range between 940 and 1,130 on the S&P 500 or (b) can see a sustainable move above 1,130.

S&P 500 Large Cap Index Chart

The CCM Bull Market Sustainability Index (BMSI) closed Monday at 1,943, which pushes us closer to the top of the neutral range with bullish territory in sight.

S&P 500 Historical Risk-Reward Profile

The ongoing and big concern in the current environment is the lack of interest in the markets, as evidenced by lackluster volume, especially on the major ETFs, like SPY, QQQQ, and DIA. The positives, which tell us a break to the upside has better odds than many believe, include good market breadth, improving technicals, and economic data which still points to a double-dip recession as the lower probability outcome.

S&P 500 Chart

The market will be looking for any comments related to quantitative easing in the Fed's statement due to be released Tuesday, September 21st at 2:15 p.m. ET. We also have mid-term elections in seven weeks. If the market forecasts significant turnover on November 2nd, it may help push the S&P 500 above 1,130.

The video below covers possible investment contingency plans for S&P 500 levels ranging between 940 and 1,130. The video can be watched "as is" below or you can view it with a larger screen via the YouTube version. If you have a fast internet connection, the YouTube video is a little clearer if you view it in 480p. If you have a slower internet connection, it may be better to watch it in 360p (the default) via the YouTube version.

 

 

We have been underwhelmed with the market's advance in the past few days; we would like to see some convincing participation before we become interested near current levels.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment