• 918 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 919 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 920 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,320 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,325 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,327 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,330 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,330 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,331 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,333 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,333 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,337 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,337 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,338 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,340 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,341 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,344 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,345 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,345 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,347 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Wednesday's Update

Sometimes, it is just good to have someone bring something to your attention.

Like what has been happening on the NASDAQ 100 and the VXN in the past two weeks.

The VXN is the Volatility Index for the NASDAQ 100, so it tracks inversely to the NASDAQ. In order to make it track the same way, we will invert the VXN's movement in the chart below.

AND ... to get them both on a comparable scale, we will plot the zero based Relative Strength levels for the two and then compare them.

So, now we are ready to observe what has happened on the two indexes since the beginning of September, and more notably ... what has happened in the past 2 weeks.

* First, let's look at the September to October 26th. time period. I have drawn two blue lines for that period and you can see that they both show an "up trend". That's good, as they are both in sync as they should be.

* Now, let's look at the time period from October 11th. to yesterday. Once again, I drew blue lines showing how they started and how they ended.

This time, we have a noticeable difference in behavior. The NASDAQ 100 went up, while the VXN moved down.

What does that say?

It says two things. One, that the VXN is Negatively Divergently with the NASDAQ100, and two ... that the fear levels have increased on the NASDAQ while it has been rising during the past two weeks.

Increasing fear is not a good thing, because people avoid what they fear ... and, avoiding the NASDAQ because they were invested, would require selling for those invested. So, watch what is going on here because conditions on the two are out of sync.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment