• 528 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 529 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 530 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 930 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 935 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 937 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 940 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 940 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 941 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 943 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 943 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 947 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 947 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 948 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 950 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 951 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 954 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 955 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 955 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 957 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies,…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Charts of the Week: Eye on Automakers

 

In our Webinar last night we reviewed some of the automakers, beginning with Ford (F), which is a beautiful chart.

Since the beginning of last year Ford has emerged out of the bottom of a head and shoulders pattern that has taken it from around 1 1/2 to 17 1/2. Would I buy it here (Monday's close at 16.06)?

I think it could probably pull back towards 15-15 1/4, where I'd enter and look for it to go to the top of the channel around 19-20. While it may pullback temporarily from there, you can see where Ford potentially could be going by looking back at 1997-98, when it was above 35.

It's conceivable that just as the whole sell-off after its 1998 high was a distribution top, Ford has emerged out of an accumulation bottom with a larger pattern developing to the upside. Once above 17-17 1/2, there's not a lot of resistance left. The huge pattern from 2002 to the present, going forward dwarfs the top between 1998 and 2001. So Ford is probably going to be high on the list of every institutional fund manager going forward. Every dollar or dollar and a half it pulls back will likely be met by buyers.

We like Ford better than General Motors (GM) because the chart, of course, has more history. It's hard to say where GM will head from its offering on November 18. But it's noteworthy that the stock has gone down to its 33 offering price three times and held. If this triple bottom breaks, the sell-off could be a waterfall. The key is for GM to take out its 33.85 high, and if it does that then I think it's going to 34 1/2.

The Japanese automakers are looking strong, and could get stronger if the yen, which was grossly overvalued, continues to turn down relative to the dollar and makes Japanese exports more attractive. I'm long the dollar versus yen via the ProShares UltraShort Yen ETF (YCS) as a believer in the scenario.

It appears the Toyota (TM) chart is foretelling the same. With all its problems, Toyota looks great. It has a beautiful base from around 67 1/2 to around 74, and has measured move target at 80. It could get to 90 before it finds serious resistance.

Honda (HMC) has an unbelievable chart in terms of accumulation with a big multi-year head and shoulders bottom like Toyota. If it can sustain above 38, the neckline of the pattern, it will have one wicked move that can go to 45.

Nissan (NSANY), too, looks good. So we have reason to believe based on what these auto manufacturers and exporters look like in Japan that something is going on.

 


For more of Mike Paulenoff, sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to his ETF Trading Diary.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment