• 1,050 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,051 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,052 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,452 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,457 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,459 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,462 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,462 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,463 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,465 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,465 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,469 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,469 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,470 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,472 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,473 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,476 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,477 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,477 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,479 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies,…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Charts of the Week: Eye on Automakers

 

In our Webinar last night we reviewed some of the automakers, beginning with Ford (F), which is a beautiful chart.

Since the beginning of last year Ford has emerged out of the bottom of a head and shoulders pattern that has taken it from around 1 1/2 to 17 1/2. Would I buy it here (Monday's close at 16.06)?

I think it could probably pull back towards 15-15 1/4, where I'd enter and look for it to go to the top of the channel around 19-20. While it may pullback temporarily from there, you can see where Ford potentially could be going by looking back at 1997-98, when it was above 35.

It's conceivable that just as the whole sell-off after its 1998 high was a distribution top, Ford has emerged out of an accumulation bottom with a larger pattern developing to the upside. Once above 17-17 1/2, there's not a lot of resistance left. The huge pattern from 2002 to the present, going forward dwarfs the top between 1998 and 2001. So Ford is probably going to be high on the list of every institutional fund manager going forward. Every dollar or dollar and a half it pulls back will likely be met by buyers.

We like Ford better than General Motors (GM) because the chart, of course, has more history. It's hard to say where GM will head from its offering on November 18. But it's noteworthy that the stock has gone down to its 33 offering price three times and held. If this triple bottom breaks, the sell-off could be a waterfall. The key is for GM to take out its 33.85 high, and if it does that then I think it's going to 34 1/2.

The Japanese automakers are looking strong, and could get stronger if the yen, which was grossly overvalued, continues to turn down relative to the dollar and makes Japanese exports more attractive. I'm long the dollar versus yen via the ProShares UltraShort Yen ETF (YCS) as a believer in the scenario.

It appears the Toyota (TM) chart is foretelling the same. With all its problems, Toyota looks great. It has a beautiful base from around 67 1/2 to around 74, and has measured move target at 80. It could get to 90 before it finds serious resistance.

Honda (HMC) has an unbelievable chart in terms of accumulation with a big multi-year head and shoulders bottom like Toyota. If it can sustain above 38, the neckline of the pattern, it will have one wicked move that can go to 45.

Nissan (NSANY), too, looks good. So we have reason to believe based on what these auto manufacturers and exporters look like in Japan that something is going on.

 


For more of Mike Paulenoff, sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to his ETF Trading Diary.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment