• 313 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 313 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 315 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 715 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 720 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 721 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 725 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 725 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 726 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 727 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 728 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 732 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 732 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 733 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 735 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 735 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 739 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 740 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 740 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 742 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Michael Pollaro

Michael Pollaro

Michael Pollaro is a retired Investment Banking professional, most recently Chief Operating Officer for the Bank's Cash Equity Trading Division. He is a passionate free…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

US Government's Fiscal State Worsens, DC Politicians Fiddle

The numbers for the U.S. government's fiscal month end May 2011 are in and they're not looking so good. All we can say is "Washington do you really get the drill."

For the twelve months ending May 2011, the government's deficit is $1.3 trillion, equating to 8.7% of nominal GDP. Yes, down a percentage point or so from its recent high, but in a supposed recovery a horrible number still.

Underscoring that ugly number, government receipts to outlays remain near historic lows. At a scary 64% that ratio is up just 4 percentage points these past twelve months, this despite a 10.7% increase in government receipts. On that kind of revenue performance, why just a paltry 4 percentage points? Because, notwithstanding all the talk about cost cutting in Washington DC, guess what's up... government outlays to the tune of 4.4%. And as for those receipts... sure, up nicely, but a suspect trend we surmise, likely spiked by capital gains taxes on an asset reflation trade that could very well be running out of gas.

The result of all this, of course, is a U.S. government borrowing binge that just won't quit. Problem is that borrowing binge is overwhelming America's savings pool, this despite a private sector desperately trying to refill the pool. The fact is, U.S. Treasury borrowing has taken some 110% of net U.S. private savings (NPS) these past twelve months. You can't grow the economy and thereby raise government revenues, we submit, when that same government is sucking up the very fuel for that growth.

More commentary available at: US Government's Fiscal State Worsens, DC Politicians Fiddle

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment