Update & Recommendations:
Since advising Cash in late 2007 and again in May / June of this year -- I continue to share what I believe to be the most accurate forecasting offered in the major financial blog community. I hope you have reviewed my articles and commentaries and agree. For me it is important to just make clear that I am seeking new Clients for my efforts.
Please let me know if I can offer personal direction to you via my professional asset management / consulting services.
My meaningful General Market Bearish Inflection Point has been in place since my forecasting its arrival in May / June. Since then it has been a very "Choppy" marketplace and the rallies of August are about over. That means I am formally forecasting a resumption of the pull back and Bearish negatives that the Marketplace presents to all of us from time to time.
It has been clear to me for many years that folks tend to put their head in the sand rather than being just a bit - proactive. I do not understand the average investor and never will. They want but they don't do! The say they listen, but listening requires action - NOT settling back to consistently inaccurate opinions and following very bad investment advice from the bad guys! My list of 'bad guys' includes all of Wall Street, the financial media, stockbrokers and most mutual funds. There are others!
My Clients understand and benefit from the inevitable Bullish and Bearish cycling environments that come along in the marketplace. It is simple for them as well as for me. I do something quite different than both mutual funds and most all other financial analysts / investors. I use Cash as a SafeHaven / SafeHarbor. And for more proactive investors I use bearish securities such as Inverse ETFs.
I boldly suggest you take these remarks to heart. The Breadth of this marketplace started deteriorating quite severely about the first part of this year. You were warned. And you have been hurt. Have you learned and are you following my efforts closely enough to possible consider changing your thinking and perhaps allegiances to people who have not given you accurate and profitable advice???
There will soon be another pull back followed by another rally. That is how it works - HOWEVER it is the TREND that you must also be in touch with and the current trend is not positive. In all likely-hood it will be negative (bearish) for some time to come.
As to 'When' the big blow to the downside occurs - well that is still up in the air.
Crude Oil, Energy / Gold and Silver are "Breaking Down" and that too is serious. Navigating through this mine-field will be as difficult as, I can remember. The manipulation on the part of Wall Street and the Mutual Funds is severe. The "Big Guns" and their non-existent ethics that were once upon a time 'acceptable' are gone - that includes: Wall Street, the Media, most Mutual Funds and most Stock Brokers.
The good news is that my Methodology and desire to help is still available to those who will seek guidance from this very wise old fox.
Let me know if I can help.
Note: You will be notified, here in SafeHaven.com when the General Market confirms my anticipated Bearish Inflection Point - it will be something like: "Houston it's a "Go" - we are airborne . . ." If you are a Prospective Client, you will receive specific recommendations - upon request. This "free advice" will soon be stopped and made available only to Clients and Prospective Clients.
To keep up with my personal / private blog - use this URL: (It would be nice if you would become a "twitter" follower) http://twitter.com/#!/investrotation/
This will be as far as I go with recommendations, warnings and alerts in the flow of on going publishing of my several blogs. If that is sufficient for you - that is great, and I am pleased to offer you this level of direction. If you are looking for more detail and learn more about how I do my work / analytics - you will have to contact me by Email.
Something to Ponder:
This is very important, at least to me:
Since my last posting in SafeHaven.com, I have completed a several year's study that will likely replace much of the work / analytics that I do within my methodology. Frankly, I just settled on the seventh version and that was a trip and a half, seven times over and over. It is deadly accurate and leads by several or more trading sessions each and every previous Inflection Point.
In a nutshell, I now have another more accurate leading indicator that: a) anticipates Inflection Points by 1 - 3 weeks; b) is always in sync. with my principle of Rotation; and c) is perfectly tuned to be within the parameters of my SHB Cycle.
I said recently in one of my blogs that: "I did not have a crystal ball." Today, I have much more than a crystal ball - it is fully back-tested data that has 100% accuracy and is able to confirm what specific Companies / ETFs have the very highest probability of low risk profits - at the time of taking positions.
Also repeating: Fred Astaire and Ginger Rogers were once interviewed: As always, much of the attention went to Fred and that often irritated Ginger. When they ask Ginger to comment on Fred's remarks, she said: "What Fred is telling you is completely accurate. What you folks fail to understand about dancing are that I do everything Fred does - only backward and in high heels."
Well, I have enjoyed the same challenge as Ginger for over 40 years. Now, I can do my work / analytics like Fred does his dancing - no high heels and straight-forward. Trust me, it is much easier and far less time consuming now that I have my above mentioned new tool to incorporate into my proven methodology.
Three articles supporting my "Three Pillars" of my Investment Methodology that you may want to read: (the title for each is at the end of the below URLs)
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/119898-my-rotation-model-a-short-explanation
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/120955-my-shb-cycle-a-short-explanation
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/104062-inflection-points-a-short-explanation
I would appreciate you also reading my more complete Bio. - with strong opinions offered to be sure we are at least a little compatible in our investment philosophy. Use this URL for my Bio: http://seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer
If you would like to have further information on my work / analytics or perhaps my professional asset management, mentoring or consulting - services ...
I would appreciate your sharing just a bit about yourself and your investment objectives,
Just send me an Email, and I will respond promptly. senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com
Thank you for your time in reading my "stuff."
Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",